grandrew
It is a computational model I built (with AI of course) that draws boundaries between a business and investment and allows to interactively explore.
This is a big emotional thing for me so please throw any feedback my way. I'm open to anything because I really want this solved.
Please let me know if the source code will be helpful, I'll publish to our repo
Show HN: P34 – tabular profit prediction without the optimism bias
https://hyperc.com/preview/index.html
Hi all. This is the result of a 7-year effort to understand why ML models trained to replace manual/Excel decision processes tend to lose money in production. The core problem is that when you train on a business's historical decisions, the data is biased by which deals were actually taken - so a model fit to it comes out over-optimistic and builds portfolios that look profitable but realize...
But I believe you're missing the main point that OP is making: OSS will _statistically_ dominate every single niche.
There are just more reasons why non-OSS software would cease to exist - so eventually Inkscape will become a de-facto standard for Illustrator things; Blender will become de-facto standard of all 3D-Max things; OBS will become a de-facto standard of all Macromedia Flash Broadcast ... oh wait ... did that happen already?
1. Just beam it with a huge laser to the spacecraft (google for several proposed projects already in development and plans for launch) 2. Store it onboard the spacecraft and then use, with multiple options and different levels of today's technology feasibility like creating a small spinning black hole or creation of exotic matter for warp drive
If you want to be more specific, you can google for "carrier haulage tax evasion" - this will be just the tip of the iceberg.
Supply chain is mixed with shady practices for tax evasion, bribery, laundering and all sorts of shady things at all levels that "compete" with actual process optimization. Combined with overall opposition to automation this incapacitates any effort to make the process efficient cuz it's hard, it "steals jobs" and not easy money.
All that means you input the rules for the "game", and it finds the way to reach the goal, no matter how complex the interactions or data are inside.
This is sometimes referred to as "Automated planning and scheduling" or simply "AI Planning" in academia.
Btw, I advise you to take a look at the metaplanner's code. It's the definition of the planning task for the planner. So that the planner can learn to solve the planner's (it's own) task. It is leveraging the HyperC core that sits in a separate repository in the same github org.
I heard the approach was circulating in the AI planning academic circles but no one had put it together as many academically-uninteresting details needed to be cared for first. That's exactly what we did.
Our current and today's focus is, of course, not to send the sattelites to the sun to build the Dyson sphere but rather to automate sending average commodities from China to Amazon FBA. Everything else comes after.
And you're right, the supply chain mess isn't caused by the absense of tech (although this does contribute) but rather by the "dark" forces in the logistics world that would prefer to keep things messy and hard to trace. The entire logistics thing has historically always been a shady business. But big data is coming for the dark guys.
So the immediate plan is to build the model of the "black box" of logistics by analyzing the data we can actually collect, then use the combination of technology and HyperC's reputation-leveraged optimal financing offers to beat the shady schemes out of the market. That itself could be overly ambitious, but this is what I believe is right.
Help needed to build the colony on Moon, Mars and the Dyson Sphere
We package all applicable knowledge in AI planning, automatic proof and machine learning to convert multiple data science problems into an IT database administration process.
The ultimate goal is to get as close as possible to the 'universal algorithm' which will solve things like optimal logistics, food production, dyson sphere construction plan, etc.., fully autonomously.
Show HN: HyperC – The Planning Database
I'm introducing the 2 years of hard work of our team to package classical AI planning into native Python concept.
We will soon follow-up with our ML and GP accelerators of universal heuristics that we build on top of fast-downward and our naive symbolic execution engine.
Show HN: Entropy-Controlled Contexts in Python
Stop Using Formulas
Modern machines are like a networked cluster themselves. You need to do a ton of work to tune both kernel and "hardware" parameters to identify bottlenecks with near-non-existing debugging tools.
There is one truth here: we used to get more performance by scaling "horizontally". Maybe it's time to "scale within"?
E.g. a program may be very complex in Kolmogorov terms, like describing 1000 random numbers - easy to understand: you have a database of numbers, and a simple procedure that would scan through it. You can also imagine some real-world microservices-based program with a good architecture and a lot of code that handles all the exception cases of incoming data, all easily understandable.
And now imagine an optimizing compiler for prolog programs. It may have much less code but the algorithm will be so complex that it might be impossible to fully understand its behaviour. E.g. fast-downward is a great example of such a program.
So I'm wondering what does Kolmogorov complexity actually tell? Or does it tell anything useful in "real"-world?