gloriosoc

sorry- should be fixed now.

that was supposed to be a shrug-- but it apparently puts it all on one line:)

To add to the what the article is saying RE:safety, the vaccine only stays in one's body for a few days to a week. Then it's gone. Also Moderna made a previous mRNA vaccine for Avian flu that was safe-- no long term side effects.https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmoa2022483?fbclid=I....

If you are alluding to the rumor of it modifying human DNA by quoting "modification of mRNA building blocks"-- this is a modification of a piece of the viral mRNA. It DOES NOT modify human DNA or RNA.

The Moderna Vaccine can be kept at refrigerator temperatures. The author addresses safety in that he explains why the vaccine was able to be produced more quickly while still going through the same level of safety testing.

It literally says "All joking aside" following that comment. I don't know how much clearer I could have made that. I also advocate wearing masks, distancing, protecting the vulnerable, and not opening schools. I don't know how you can possibly be construing me as advocating for any of the extreme things you are talking about.

My data comes from worldometer.info which pulls directly from the states and hospital reporting and not from the CDC or HHS. So I think it is reliable.

I agree with your first two points whole heartedly. But I think we got into a r-v-l place where the public has lost all trust BY paternalism. Trust means giving people the truth. And my theory doesn't hinge on people behaving responsibly at all. If people are irresponsible- this ends sooner with more death. The theory is the same either way- the timeline and number of deaths just change a bit.

The case of the person that got reinfected is grossly exaggerated. Don't you think if this was really occurring frequently there wouldn't be only one or two reported incidences of this world-wide? Asymptomatic carriers do definitively infect others. Just because you personally are not sure of things, doesn't mean that they are not known. And this "do nothing" approach you are advocating for- which is what happens if you wait until everything is fully and definitively proven- has resulted in the disastrous results the US has had so far. Also please explain "suggesting cataclysmic shoot-from-the-hip solutions"- I don't think anything I suggested comes close to that. I said that we shouldn't reopen colleges in places with rising cases. That doesn't seem cataclysmic to me.

That's not an error. Epidemiologists are computational biologists. I don't want to argue with you because that seems to be what you are solely after.

I have an Md, a Phd, and I'm a computational biologist at MIT. I think this qualifies as expertise.

Call me an optimist but I think the public can handle the nuance of cases have dropped but still don't throw a crazy party until they are 100% gone or everyone is vaccinated. Also levels are 20-30% now but will continue to rise throughout the fall because there still are new cases and transmission even if RT<1.

Behavior is a variable that can and should be included in a herd immunity model. The percent immunity needed to achieve Herd immunity will change with behavior. That doesn't negate that it's happening. Louisiana and Florida are pretty much open and seeing a drop in cases. Bars aren't open indoors- but I think we can live with that for a little while?

In the absence of peer reviewed data, which takes at the very least 3 months, rendering it obsolete for a pandemic, the Tech is much better than say the NYT or the Atlantic. It largely does not misconstrue or report bad science. Here is a link to a talk by the scientist quoted in the Tech at UCSF's medical grand rounds. It starts at minute 38. It supports with more detailed evidence what I have been saying and in the timeframe we need it, a talk in front of a knowledgeable audience from respected scientists is about as good as we have. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ew2MEF4XX8w.

It's fixed now btw