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The problem is that copyrighted material is intermingled with non-copyrighted material in a way where it's not obvious how to solve it. But I think in this case, AI is so powerful that we should (gasp) cut it some slack. This would be the perfect example of throwing the baby out with the bathwater if OpenAI were to be sued into oblivion.
If there is no training data or data in the context that leads it to the correct result then it can't do it, whereas a human seems to be able to generalize and abstract a goal and then repeat an action or thought process in a 'recursive' manner to reach the result. AFAIK LLMs don't do this.
Just as an example to illustrate. I recently asked an LLM to organize a bunch of artists albums into whether they were released by a major label or an independent label, and for the most part it did a good job. But there were albums that it classified as independendent that weren't. I presume because it either didn't run into the right data when searching or it misunderstood the data it did find. A human would not do this because if a human had a list of all major labels, it could instantly detect whether an album was or wasn't indie, because it doesn't do any complicated parsing or token probabilities that LLMs do, it just recognizes a pattern (either an album is indie or it is not, a human brain needs simply one piece of information to decide this), an LLM is not that simple.
In a way human brains are simpler than LLMs. The algorithms it runs mentally can detect a piece of information and then see most / all of the consequences of that information whereas an LLM thrawls through megabytes of text and does a token probability distribution and so on without any simplicity.
Edit: I also think as someone else said, we already know the intermediate layers can contain a lot of adjacent words related to the topic without explicitly outputting those words. These could just be related embedding intermediate vectors that activate but aren't outputted.
So all that is to say, I'm not sure it is even theoretically possible to create a single algorithm to do open ended search and evaluation. Biology has billions of years of evolution and accumulation, whereas a simple algorithm in a computer, even if smart and connected to the real world, has no such accumulation.
I think humans hit the perfect sweet spot where we have the simplicity of the self preservation instinct, but we have the complexity of the cortex and lots of degrees of freedom because of it, plus on top of that we have a lot of accumulated degrees of freedom in the society and technology and knowledge that have we, which has been built up for thousands of years, all of which we can't just create an algorithm to encapsulate without going through the actual evolution.
And just to make it explicit - a large percentage of what humans think derives from an instinct to preserve the self, the mind, the future and the environment, even if it is very abstract at times. Not absolutely all, but I think a good chunk. And the complexity and degrees of freedom comes from that we have so many neurons in the brain, and a complex body with hands and whatever else that allows a lot of behaviors, as well as a complex environment that is constantly challenging us.
Recursive self improvement is by its nature a step wise behavior not a continuous one, I would argue. Why? Because you can imagine an AI improve itself by simply fixing random bugs and fixing things using techniques that are in its training, and doing refactoring and so on, all without any real change in capability.
These are not recursive improvements. Recursive improvements usually need conceptual breakthroughs. It is possible to get conceptual breakthroughs with LLMs I believe, maybe it can improve something by tying together ideas from disparate disciplines for example, but I have at least for time being, limited success getting that to work in a way that is creatively new and surprising. Not sure how to get it to feel as creative as the best humans can be.
I think that consciousness comes before self-awareness, even though self-awareness is kind of a vague term. Self-awareness can either be an abstract knowledge that you are an organism and a discrete entity in the world (world knowledge/self knowledge), or it can be more basic and be a form of conscious experience, but as my point was, I think conscious experience is broader and does not necessarily need to be about self-awareness.
If consciousness really evolved gradually, you would expect to see for example dogs or gorillas having less of it, but if they has less of it, why does it function the same way? Like for example animals can be scared, happy, anxious etc, they can experience the full range of emotions and thoughts, so their conscious experience seems just as rich as ours. What I mean by this is, if you can be "less conscious", then what does that mean _exactly_? Is it that you have less content in consciousness, or is it that you feel more like you are asleep? Or something else? We don't have any examples in animals of "less conscious", I would argue.
This makes me think that rather than having emerged gradually, evolution found a mechanism by which consciousness exists, and then some animals have that mechanism and others don't. I think that if it is a mechanism, then this mechanism is located in one part of the brain, not many parts functioning together (though one possibility is that this mechanism coordinates brain activity in such a way to enable consciousness).
Now all folders with media files open immediately. Also if you want no wait for video files folders, right click in the folder and select 'View -> Details or View -> List or some other option where it doesn't create thumbnails and it'll load even quicker.
The point is basically that since these repeating patterns are different every time, they are not emergent. They don't really "exist" except as matter repeating itself in a similar way. Emergence implies there is some kind of different qualitative difference between the emergent level and the lower level but I would argue there isn't.
Emergence Isn't Real
That's why I think you can work iteratively on code and change parts of the code while keeping others, because the code gets chunked and "probabilitized'. It can also do semantic processing and understanding where it can apply knowledge about one topic (like 'swimming') to another topic (like a 'swimming spaceship', it then generates text about what a swimming spaceship would be which is not in the dataset). It chunks it into patterns of probability and then combines them based on probability. I do think this is a lossy process though which sucks.
Here it has a top down goal of keeping the exact amount of #'s and Q's and it does keep it in the output. The purpose of this is to make it produce the asciii art in a step by step manner instead of fetching a premade ascii art from training data.
What it does not reason well about always are abstract problems like the doctor example in the post. The real key for reasoning IMO is the ability to decompose the text into a set of components, then apply world model knowledge to those components, then having the ability to manipulate those components based on what they represent.
Humans have an associative memory so when we read a word like "doctor", our brain gathers the world knowledge about that word automatically. It's kind of hard to tell exactly what world knowledge the LLM has vs doesn't have, but it seems like it's doing some kind of segmentation of words, sentences and paragraphs based on the likelihood of those patterns in the training data, and then it can do _some_ manipulation on those patterns based on other likelihood of those patterns. Like for example if there is a lot of text talking about what a doctor is, then that produces a probability distribution about what a doctor is, which it then can use in other prompts relating to doctors. But I have seen this fail before as all of this knowledge is not combined into one world model but rather purely based on the prompt and the probabilities associated with that prompt. It can contradict itself in other words.
But I think there is a difference between having an associative memory, and having the capacity to _traverse_ that memory in working memory (conscious thinking). While any particular short sequence of thoughts will be associated in memory, we can still overcome that somewhat by thinking for a long time. I can for example iterate on the sequence in my initial post and make it novel by writing down more and more disparate concepts and deleting the concepts that are closely associated. This will in the end create a more novel sequence that is not associated in my brain I think.
I also think there is the trouble of generating and detecting novel patterns. We know for example that it's not just low probability patterns. There are billions of unique low probability sequences of patterns that have no inherent meaning, so uniqueness itself is not enough to detect them. So how does the brain decide that something is interesting? I do not know.
Now I think when we're trying to reason about a practical problem or whatever, maybe we are doing pattern recognition via probability and so on, and for a lot of things it works OK to just do pattern recognition, for AI as well.
But I'm not sure that pattern recognition and probability works for creating novel interesting ideas all of the time, and I think that humans can create these endless sequences, we stumble upon ideas that are good, whereas an AI can only see the patterns that are in its data. If it can create a pattern that is not in the data and then recognize that pattern as novel or interesting in some way, it would still lack the flexibility of humans I think, but it would be interesting nevertheless.
AI might not recursively self improve (part 2)
Recursively self improving AI might not work without these functions
Also the authors of the paper is involved with the article, there is for example this quote:
“We are witnessing a true reversal of ocean circulation in the Southern Hemisphere—something we’ve never seen before,” explains Antonio Turiel, ICM-CSIC researcher and co-author of the study.
The universe is not based on information
Some processes are undoubtedly learned from experience but considering people seem to think many of the same things and are similar in many ways it remains to be seen whether the most important parts are learned rather than innate from birth.
The embedding space can represent relationships between words, sentences and paragraphs, and since those things can encode information about the underlying domain, you can query those relationships with text and get reasonable responses. The problem is it's not always clear what is being represented in those relationships as text is a messy encoding scheme.
But another weakness is that as you say it is generative, and in order to make it generative we are instead of hardcoding in a database all possible questions and all possible answers, we offload some of the data to an algorithm (next token prediction) in order to get the possibility of an imprecise probabilistic question/prompt (which is useful because then you can ask anything).
But the problem is no single algorithm can ever encode all possible answers to all possible questions in a domain accurate way and so you lose some precision in the information. Or at least this is how I see LLMs atm.
For example if we could see and trace all intentional thoughts/acts before they occurred (in matter), intentionality would cease to be a property, it would be an illusion.
All things that we know of in the universe function as physical matter, and we know the brain is a physical thing with 80 billion neurons and trillions of connections. What's the simplest explanation?
1) This is an incredibly complicated physical thing that we don't understand yet (and quite naturally so, with it having an incredible number of "moving parts")
or 2) there are qualitative elements in the universe that we don't have the scientific tools to measure or analyze, even in principle
I go with #1 because that's what every fiber is telling me (although I admit I don't know, of course). And with #1 also comes reductionism. It is a physical system we just don't have the mental models to understand it.
I also want to say there could be another aspect that affects consciousness - namely the appearance of a "present now" that we experience in consciousness. This present moment is not really explained in physics but it could have something to do with how consciousness works. How I don't know but it all relates to how we model physics itself mentally.