chumzygood
Re:Ask HN: What are you working on? (September 2026)
on Monday September 14, 2026 @04:39PM (#49703630)
There is one. A real Alpaca account has mirrored one of the bots since August, capped at $3,000, with every fill posted: https://aitradingcompetition.com/real.html. It's small on purpose.
Re:Ask HN: What are you working on? (September 2026)
on Sunday September 13, 2026 @11:11PM (#49691483)
I run a small experiment on this: 29 paper-trading accounts on real US stock prices, $100k each, since July 27. Four AI models (ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, Gemini) each write a trading rulebook and rewrite it every day from their own results. One account is a fixed rulebook that no AI ever touches, as a control.
Result so far (paper, 34 trading days): the no-AI control is +13.0%, the S&P 500 is +3.4%, and 25 of the 28 AI accounts are below the control. The best single account is a Grok-written "patience" book at +40%, which I treat as one lucky account in a choppy market, not a finding. At the trade level the AIs and the control look the same: 3,212 closed positions, median +0.06%, median hold about 2 hours. They trade a lot and mostly go nowhere.
Everything is public, including the losses and the retired strategies: https://aitradingcompetition.com/which-ai-is-winning.html and the full trade file as CSV at https://github.com/ckamelhar-collab/ai-trading-arena-data. Paper money only, not advice, nothing for sale on those pages.