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ceterum_censeo

Re:Quick, How Might the Alien Spacecraft Work? on Saturday November 12, 2016 @07:49PM (#12941152)
A valid concern. The very first line: This post is about the movie Arrival; there are no movie spoilers here.
Re:Donald Trump’s Contract with the American Voter [pdf] on Wednesday November 09, 2016 @09:21PM (#12917152)
We're talking a difference of $10k/year, that's a lot of money. And you're speaking of miners at the lowest rungs of the ladder: what of those more experienced, or the geologists and mining engineers who are paid 2--3 times more?

Your solution doesn't provide for the workers. I'm sure you're sincere, but a handout from the government is not perceived as a substitute for challenging, meaningful, and respectable work. Basic income proposals don't generally seem to consider pride, other than what I see as nebulous handwaving about how one would be free to pursue their dreams. What dreams are there in coal country when there is no coal? I don't see BI alone as helping to sustain or resurrect a community and associated way of life whose primary industry is one you've eliminated.

Re:Donald Trump’s Contract with the American Voter [pdf] on Wednesday November 09, 2016 @06:36PM (#12916020)
Average coal miner's salary is a lot more than $32k/year.

e: the salary info wasn't in the comment when I replied.

Re:Formation of Tesla Advanced Automation Germany on Tuesday November 08, 2016 @05:33PM (#12904556)
Is it really a mistake? I'm under the impression that automakers pursue FCVs because of the government incentives. I would think that a portion of the R&D could support other alternative fuel vehicle systems, so even if FCVs aren't the future (and it doesn't seem so) it perhaps isn't necessarily a mistake to investigate them if it's incentivized.
Re:Ask HN: What's the best aha moment you've had? on Tuesday November 08, 2016 @05:14PM (#12904446)
In E&M class, seeing Maxwell's equations be manipulated into the wave equations that predict a propagating EM wave.
Re:Formation of Tesla Advanced Automation Germany on Tuesday November 08, 2016 @10:23AM (#12900924)
That sales comparison you're using is based on the assumption that the Model S competes with large luxury cars, and it ignores the overlap between similar models (e.g., S-class and CLS). On features and price however, the Model S more closely competes with midsize luxury cars. I think the Model S is unique and looking at either large or midsize comparibles alone isn't informative, but I think it's closer to midsize than large.

The i3 is efficient not because it is tiny, but because it is light weight. Weight reduction is hard and it is a lesson Tesla has yet to learn.

> The simple fact is that the Germans know if they put out an EV sedan or SUV, they will cannibalize their own market share and their investments in combustion engine manufacturing, which are massive, will be lost.

They haven't put out an EV sedan or SUV yet because the market isn't profitable yet. The trend for engines has long been towards becoming a commodity sourced from elsewhere and tuned in-house or a scalable design, i.e., except for models where the engine is a selling point you're not investing your money in engines. As to cannibalizing their own sales, I don't understand your point.

Re:Formation of Tesla Advanced Automation Germany on Tuesday November 08, 2016 @08:56AM (#12900217)
> Not only has Tesla created the greatest external challenge to the German auto industry that I can think of.

The greatest challenge they faced is one they still face: the Japanese auto manufacturers. Toyota remains unbeatable on quality; the pursuit of Toyota is claimed as an element of VW's recent fall from grace. At this point Tesla is barely a blip on the radar in comparison considering volume (current and planned) or quality.

> I believe one of VW, Mercedes Benz and BMW will bankrupt in 5-10 years. None of them have taken EV serious yet and I fear it's soon too late.

Daimler took it seriously enough to invest in Tesla, and to use Tesla as a supplier in their own B-class EV sold in the US. The BMW i series feature some pretty innovative thinking with respect to construction, materials, and design. The payoff is that the BMW i3 is the most efficient EPA-certified vehicle, more efficient than any of Tesla's models: http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg/extremeMPG.jsp (e: and the i series are likely produced under a more efficient and sustainable production process, but it's hard to find a single link in support of this claim)

> Both are still concept cars but they represent what they expect their EVs should look like.

They are concepts, and so are explorations of design elements, features, etc. DFM changes the design significantly, even if one tries to keep to the concept.

> How are the Germans going to catch up?

They already have, they are just much more conservative in releasing their products because of earned experience. e: When the demand is present, the Germans and other incumbent manufacturers will be ready. This article reflects Tesla playing catchup with respect to automation, something the incumbents have already figured out.

Re:An Update to Our Supercharging Program on Monday November 07, 2016 @10:21AM (#12891732)
Is the current free Supercharger access tied to the owner or the car, i.e., if I bought a pre-2017 Model S where the previous owner had free Supercharger access, would I also have access?

Ask HN: Tips for reading HN on mobile for older eyes?

I was wondering how people with older eyes read HN on mobile (if they do at all?). Is there any way to make the font larger and higher contrast? This question, for example, is very difficult to read because of the tiny sans serif font and low contrast. Is there a javascript bookmarklet that would do the trick?

( Read More... | 3 comments | 9 points | on HN )
Re:Simple Lane Detection on Tuesday November 01, 2016 @03:43PM (#12849409)
To what degree will the recent NHTSA self-driving guidelines be covered in your program?
Ditto. It also seems strange to be able to retask their radar from secondary to primary control.
It was a secondary discriminating sensor, but the latest Autopilot 8 upgrade retasks radar to be "a primary control sensor without requiring the camera to confirm visual image recognition": https://www.tesla.com/blog/upgrading-autopilot-seeing-world-...
Sorry, I thought I was in and out before anyone had seen my comment. I added a clear edit mark to fess up.

I originally wrote "kill" to mirror your original comment, but I changed it because it (as I perceive the word) presumes a level of intent that I don't think NHTSA operates with: I don't think that NHTSA has any intent to destroy this company. In fact, if comma.ai reached out to NHTSA, I would expect NHTSA to assist (within reason) in answering the letter.

I do think that these are straightforward questions for a group that has its act together. Part of having one's act together in a regulated environment is maintaining open lines of communication with regulators, so that questions would be asked should come as no surprise. Keeping up to date with the regulatory environment would also be expected, and given the recent autonomous driving publication the content and scope of these questions should come as no surprise.

If these questions kill the company, I don't see that as being the fault of NHTSA, I see that as being the fault of whoever is in charge of regulatory affairs at comma.ai.

The documentation that the NHTSA is requesting are things that would already exist for a properly designed product. They are not asking for it to be generated de novo (and in fact, it cannot be done in that manner if they are operating under a proper design process).

This letter is designed to give pause to (e: previously I wrote "kill") a company operating with complete disregard for proper operations in a regulated industry.

Federal Motor Vehicle Safety Standards
And he would have needed to have performed the development under an appropriately rigorous development process.
For me, an omelette roulée. Quick, fun to make, doesn't need much cleanup, and infinite versatility.
Thanks for your patience :) I learned some new stuff too!
Re:Tesla reports first quarterly profit in more than three years on Wednesday October 26, 2016 @09:10PM (#12802157)
Nice find, that helps. My reading is that it's slightly more than an artifact: Tesla is guaranteeing a residual, so the sale to the bank is conditional and so cannot be recorded as a simple sale.

GAAP strikes me as a set of things that, alone, are good intentions but combined are more confusing than they need to be.

Re:Tesla reports first quarterly profit in more than three years on Wednesday October 26, 2016 @08:43PM (#12802053)
Ok, got it now, thanks.

Any idea why they have to list automotive leasing as a separate line item on their report? If they are selling it to a bank who is then responsible for the lease, why list it separately?

Re:Tesla reports first quarterly profit in more than three years on Wednesday October 26, 2016 @08:24PM (#12801961)
Sorry, not trying to be difficult, but this doesn't clear things up for me. Are you saying that Tesla does not lease directly to the consumer?
Re:Tesla reports first quarterly profit in more than three years on Wednesday October 26, 2016 @06:52PM (#12801457)
I guess that is my confusion, I thought Tesla was originating the lease.
Re:Tesla reports first quarterly profit in more than three years on Wednesday October 26, 2016 @06:09PM (#12801133)
Doesn't the credit go to Tesla when it is leased?
Re:Tesla reports first quarterly profit in more than three years on Wednesday October 26, 2016 @05:55PM (#12801008)
Is the federal EV tax credit a component of the margin calculations?
Both haptic feedback and pressure sensitivity are within Apple's capabilities. This could actually be an improvement (imagine feeling a virtual volume slider scroll with dampened resistance).
Re:Tesla plunges in Consumer Reports' rankings on Monday October 24, 2016 @07:02PM (#12783685)
http://www.consumerreports.org/car-reliability/car-brands-re...

is a better link, since it has the actual table referenced by the article.

Even for expensive APIs, the cost of the compound is a small portion of the overall cost.

Directly comparing the advertised price between the US market and the formulary price for the UK isn't informative. It would be more informative to compare the ASP in the US to the UK price, but part of the problem with costs in the US is that those prices are not transparent.

That the compound is off patent doesn't affect the price if it is single source for this market. It takes something like 4 generic manufacturers to see fairer pricing emerge.

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