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Re:There is no evidence for X on Wednesday February 04, 2026 @03:57PM (#46891666)
If we know that it cannot work, then we have evidence of no X, where X is the possibility of homeopathy working.
Re:There is no evidence for X on Wednesday February 04, 2026 @03:55PM (#46891633)
Huh?
Re:There is no evidence for X on Wednesday February 04, 2026 @03:20PM (#46891080)
Correct
Re:There is no evidence for X on Wednesday February 04, 2026 @03:17PM (#46891042)
It’s a common confusion, often subconsciously deployed in the context of trying to cope with the possibility of something undesirable turning out to be true.

Mind controlling the public via narratives

Scenario #1: Software stocks rise Media: Wow! AI is working! It’s helping companies make more money!Scenario #2: Software stocks tank Media: Wow! AI is working! It’s disrupting software companies!Wake up, folks. You’re being played. It’s the Truman show. The narrative has already been set in stone. The main plot has already been written. Whatever happens spontaneously will be retroactively...

( Read More... | no comments | 3 points | on HN )
Re:Moltbook is proof that GenAI was a scam on Tuesday February 03, 2026 @11:40AM (#46873317)
Glad you agree about Moltbook. We can leave it at that, we don’t have to agree on everything.
Re:Moltbook is proof that GenAI was a scam on Tuesday February 03, 2026 @11:37AM (#46873263)
That’s because we’re in a recession. It has nothing to do with AI. AI can’t replace a god damn drive thru worker. McDonald’s literally tried and failed, that’s the funny part.

Moltbook is proof that GenAI was a scam

It’s been more than 10 years since the dawn of generative AI, and all we have to show for it, our magnum opus, is a bunch of token generators mimicking humans and having nonsensical “conversations” on a primitive, outdated UI.You’d have thought that GenAI would replace engineers and doctors by now, but no. All we have are sycophantic, hallucinating chatbots which are also degrading in quality...

( Read More... | 10 comments | 5 points | on HN )
Re:The literal devil shows up in Oracle's stock on Tuesday February 03, 2026 @10:24AM (#46872113)

Gartner hype cycles describe an exception, not a rule

People believe in them as a rule because they cherry pick the few cycles that conform and ignore the massive number of cycles that don’t conform. Gartner hype cycles don’t describe every hype cycle. They describe a miraculously small number of them, the ones that actually bore some fruit. But as usual, give a concept a fancy name and people will start believing in it as though it were some law...

( Read More... | no comments | 2 points | on HN )
Re:"100% of our code is written by AI" on Monday February 02, 2026 @02:00PM (#46859785)
I’m not being pedantic. I’m being precise in my use of language.

"100% of our code is written by AI"

This is an extremely misleading way of framing how engineers are actually using AI to generate code. It makes it sound like LLMs are autonomously writing code. But in reality, engineers are prompting LLMs to generate code. No precise prompt? No code. It’s almost as misleading as claiming that “code editors are writing 100% of our code.” It assigns agency to a computer program that is in reality...

( Read More... | 5 comments | 5 points | on HN )
Re:Prediction: Claude 5 will be a major regression on Monday February 02, 2026 @01:15PM (#46859215)
No dude, the latest versions of the models it routes to are markedly poorer in performance than their predecessors.

I’m observing a law that states: There appears to be a direct relationship between model performance and cost, such that whenever a company claims to have reduced inference costs, customers immediately notice a corresponding decline in model performance.

Re:Prediction: Claude 5 will be a major regression on Monday February 02, 2026 @01:05PM (#46859085)
Ok but didn’t Karpathy make it clear that we live in the vibe era? I’m inclined to trust vibes more than technical jargon, and boy are the vibes off with what’s been happening!

Let’s see what happens :)

Re:Prediction: Claude 5 will be a major regression on Monday February 02, 2026 @01:01PM (#46859040)
This actually proves my point because if you read the anecdotes, you will notice a marked decline in performance. The version number goes up but the actual performance declines. The benchmarks can tell any story you want them to.
Re:Prediction: Claude 5 will be a major regression on Monday February 02, 2026 @12:53PM (#46858939)
I get what you’re saying, but I still think that it will be a scam. Bookmark this thread and let’s continue the conversation after it’s released.
Re:Prediction: Claude 5 will be a major regression on Monday February 02, 2026 @12:52PM (#46858919)
Maybe not in theory but definitely in practice, as we’ve seen with GPT-5. These companies are lightning money on fire. If they reduce the cost, expect a proportional decrease in quality. All of the GPT-5 anecdotes confirm this. When the data and anecdotes disagree, the anecdotes are usually right, and the data is usually bullshit.
Re:Prediction: Claude 5 will be a major regression on Monday February 02, 2026 @12:47PM (#46858853)
It’s already obvious that it will be a scam. Higher benchmark scores and lower cost are two signs that customers are about to get scammed. We saw it with GPT-5.

Prediction: Claude 5 will be a major regression

At this point it should be completely obvious to everyone that there’s what is approximately a linear relationship between model cost and model performance. Anthropic is claiming that Claude 5 Sonnet will cost about half as much as their current SOTA models. Therefore, expect about half the performance. This is Anthropic’s version of GPT-5, i.e. a way to fool their customers into using a less...

( Read More... | 12 comments | 3 points | on HN )

Moltbook: Hype for Midwits

For how long will the public continue to fall for the illusion of cognition? I guess for as long as the elites keep deploying tricks like Moltbook. Riddle me this: If agents were powerful enough to converse and plot against humanity, then why couldn’t McDonald’s Or Taco Bell replace their drive thrus with them? Why couldn’t any company replace any job function with agents?The public is...

( Read More... | no comments | 3 points | on HN )

Hinton is a fear monger, worse than Dario Amodei

It makes me sad to think about the millions who have been tricked by him, thinking that their careers are about to come to an end. He’s a truly evil person, and it’s not surprising when you look at his background. He’s a materialist (doesn’t believe in God), and he hates the human species. On top of that, he’s very old and has probably grown bitter with age. So it’s really no wonder that he...

( Read More... | 2 comments | 5 points | on HN )
Thanks G

AI has failed to replace a single software application or feature

I can’t name a single software application or software feature that has been mooted by AI. Zero. Take Excel as an example. Not only has AI failed to replace Excel in its entirety, but it has also failed to replace any of its features. AI was simply appended as an additional feature in the form of an agentic chatbot. This has been the trend across the entire industry, and it’s why AI has failed...

( Read More... | 23 comments | 6 points | on HN )

The preposterous notion of AI automating "repetitive" work

This is just one of those narratives that people latch onto because it has a nice ring to it. Or maybe it’s because it makes AI sound less threatening and perhaps even palatable. “Don’t worry. AI is going to replace only the repetitive parts of your job.” But if you spend even a minute examining this narrative, then you will realize just how preposterous it is.Humans have already figured out...

( Read More... | 11 comments | 2 points | on HN )

The AI bubble doesn't *require* AI

As I think more and more about the financial musical chairs unfolding in the tech industry, I’m beginning to realize the insignificance of the role of AI. To prove this, I’d like to propose the following thought experiment:Imagine that AI services all go dark tomorrow morning. Traffic to AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic goes to zero and they immediately stop making money. Now here’s my...

( Read More... | no comments | on HN )

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