There is no evidence for X
Is not the same as “There is evidence of no X.”Very important distinction.
Is not the same as “There is evidence of no X.”Very important distinction.
Scenario #1: Software stocks rise Media: Wow! AI is working! It’s helping companies make more money!Scenario #2: Software stocks tank Media: Wow! AI is working! It’s disrupting software companies!Wake up, folks. You’re being played. It’s the Truman show. The narrative has already been set in stone. The main plot has already been written. Whatever happens spontaneously will be retroactively...
It’s been more than 10 years since the dawn of generative AI, and all we have to show for it, our magnum opus, is a bunch of token generators mimicking humans and having nonsensical “conversations” on a primitive, outdated UI.You’d have thought that GenAI would replace engineers and doctors by now, but no. All we have are sycophantic, hallucinating chatbots which are also degrading in quality...
Check the stock graph between August and October of 2025. Right when Ellison signed the OpenAI deal, an emblem of the devil showed up in the stock graph.Link: https://share.google/JxCFId6jdDxNMRfZg
People believe in them as a rule because they cherry pick the few cycles that conform and ignore the massive number of cycles that don’t conform. Gartner hype cycles don’t describe every hype cycle. They describe a miraculously small number of them, the ones that actually bore some fruit. But as usual, give a concept a fancy name and people will start believing in it as though it were some law...
This is an extremely misleading way of framing how engineers are actually using AI to generate code. It makes it sound like LLMs are autonomously writing code. But in reality, engineers are prompting LLMs to generate code. No precise prompt? No code. It’s almost as misleading as claiming that “code editors are writing 100% of our code.” It assigns agency to a computer program that is in reality...
I’m observing a law that states: There appears to be a direct relationship between model performance and cost, such that whenever a company claims to have reduced inference costs, customers immediately notice a corresponding decline in model performance.
Let’s see what happens :)
At this point it should be completely obvious to everyone that there’s what is approximately a linear relationship between model cost and model performance. Anthropic is claiming that Claude 5 Sonnet will cost about half as much as their current SOTA models. Therefore, expect about half the performance. This is Anthropic’s version of GPT-5, i.e. a way to fool their customers into using a less...
For how long will the public continue to fall for the illusion of cognition? I guess for as long as the elites keep deploying tricks like Moltbook. Riddle me this: If agents were powerful enough to converse and plot against humanity, then why couldn’t McDonald’s Or Taco Bell replace their drive thrus with them? Why couldn’t any company replace any job function with agents?The public is...
It makes me sad to think about the millions who have been tricked by him, thinking that their careers are about to come to an end. He’s a truly evil person, and it’s not surprising when you look at his background. He’s a materialist (doesn’t believe in God), and he hates the human species. On top of that, he’s very old and has probably grown bitter with age. So it’s really no wonder that he...
I can’t name a single software application or software feature that has been mooted by AI. Zero. Take Excel as an example. Not only has AI failed to replace Excel in its entirety, but it has also failed to replace any of its features. AI was simply appended as an additional feature in the form of an agentic chatbot. This has been the trend across the entire industry, and it’s why AI has failed...
This is just one of those narratives that people latch onto because it has a nice ring to it. Or maybe it’s because it makes AI sound less threatening and perhaps even palatable. “Don’t worry. AI is going to replace only the repetitive parts of your job.” But if you spend even a minute examining this narrative, then you will realize just how preposterous it is.Humans have already figured out...
As I think more and more about the financial musical chairs unfolding in the tech industry, I’m beginning to realize the insignificance of the role of AI. To prove this, I’d like to propose the following thought experiment:Imagine that AI services all go dark tomorrow morning. Traffic to AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic goes to zero and they immediately stop making money. Now here’s my...