blueelephanttea

This is not a surprise. The timeline for this plane aligns exactly with the timeline for Airbus's a320/321 replacement which aligns exactly with when it is believed the next generation of engines will be ready.

Both Boeing and Airbus are spending a lot of time evaluating the next engine options. Last year there was an article that Airbus is more optimistic about CFM's open rotor designs while Boeing thinks the next generation geared turbofan models will win out. That is entirely based on leaks and no-one actually knows how true those assessments are.

The 737 Max was designed with the expectation that the 8 variant would be the sweet spot. Since that time it is clear that there is massive demand for up-gauging and the A321neo is dominating and there is significant demand for the Max10 variant despite it not being certified yet.

I would expect that both Boeing and Airbus are looking at that size (maybe slightly larger) for their next narrowbody with some flexibility for shrinks and/or stretches.

This is not a response to any existing planes. The A320/321 family is very old (50 years mid 2030) and it is expected that both Boeing and Airbus are going to be introducing new airframes to fit the new engine technology.

> Anyone know if it's still a drop in replacement for Elasticsearch?

As you point out it was forked a number of years ago so it started from the same place (7.10). Elasticsearch is now on 9.0+ and has 27,000 more commits than OpenSearch. So I doubt it is a drop-in replacement anymore.

I have no idea how many of those 27K commits are key features, but it is clear divergence.

So he can use the funds he raised for xAI to pay out the lenders for the initial Twitter purchase? Otherwise the lenders are just getting xAI stock (all stock deal) which I assume is illiquid?

Ah yes. Now we know why those articles about X's valuation resurgence have been coming out lately. He "rescued the value" by selling it to another company he owns.

Look, maybe the Twitter dataset and control over the algorithm is worth $45 billion. But I've seen the state of ads on Twitter these days and it is clearly not worth anything close to that from advertising income.

> I would strongly argue that coding assistants are AI’s first killer app. Copilot, Cursor, Windsurf etc.

These IMO are relatively useful things. But probably (in their current state) will not justify the valuation of the companies involved and the massive investment occurring right now.

I don't know how the future will unfold. I do think it is reasonable to be somewhat bearish on what has been promised vs. what has been released.

> If Android users have to login to a website to use this, what's the appeal?

I'm not trying to convince you or anyone else to use this. It just was pointing out you don't need Apple accounts or devices to participate opposed to something like Facebook events.

> There are hundreds of simple meeting/event webapps out there

Okay? Go crazy using those! But don't claim that this requires an Apple device to create or join events (like the OP I was responding to). And don't claim that this requires an Apple Account to join events (like many other commentators are).

> I tested it with a sample event and I don't see any way to RSVP without logging into an Apple account. Maybe I'm missing something?

You are. I explicitly created a burner email and invited it to an event.

When I navigated from the invite email I was prompted to sign in which I declined. It then allowed me to join the event after I confirmed with an emailed code.

On joining the event I was able to set my name and send a note.

> 1) own an iDevice

You do not need to own an Apple device to either create events or join events.

> I'll send an email for free, thankyouverymuch.

This seems fine! There are open protocols (email, ics) if they work for you, but Apple specifically developed this in a way to neither require an Apple device or Apple Account to interact. Which is better than some of the competitors! (Facebook and Google tend to create social tools which explicitly require everyone to have accounts.)

> Hell, if they featureset was compelling enough, and they had an iCloud app for non-Apple hardware platforms, I might actually consider being an iCloud+ member, but I guess it's not worth it to Apple to collect a monthly payment from me if I won't make the downpayment on an iPhone and a Macbook...

You can create events from the web iCloud interface without an Apple device.

How does removing an easy tax filing solution improve government efficiency? It seems like a handout to private tax preparers.

I've scanned some of the DOGE stuff and the fact that I have seen pretty much no mention or discussion of the big budget items: social security, military, medicare, and medicaid does not make me optimistic that this is going to do anything about government spending...

High Point Scientific is a great option. They sell tons of options and have great service.

For example, this is an extremely commonly recommended for serious beginners that is sold by them: https://www.highpointscientific.com/apertura-ad8-8-inch-dobs...

> The article includes a chart of the first 9 months of the past 20 years, 2010 looks like about 55 billion or so.

$55 billion in 2010 is $80 billion in 2024 dollars. I kind of feel like my original point was pretty clear.

The 2010 $80 billion is a first 3 quarters number too. I'm objecting to the media's obsession with using the persistent march of inflation to constantly write headlines about record this or record that.

I'm agnostic to whether this is some important or stark economic indicator. But I think the media should write articles that use rates not absolute values when they choose to write these articles.

It would appear better. The absolute value of written off loans will perpetually increase since the total amount in loans will increase.

The record 2010 number is ~$80 billion in 2024 dollars vs $46 billion this year.

Not only that, but the headline is a non-inflation adjusted value! We're still well below the peak of 2010!

We might be on the cusp of a collapse, but the media (and HN commentators!) continue to predict 3465 out of the last 2 recessions.

This entire article seems to be completely based on a non-inflation adjusted write-off value. It is not surprising to me that we are setting write-off records. We were bound to at some point!

It is clear that delinquencies have ticketed up over the last year or two. But this article does not do a particularly good job about contextualizing if this is actually concerning.

Here is the actual rate:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CORCCT100S

Pretty tough to look at that and determine if this clearly concerning or an moderate adjustment to a changing post-covid environment.

I would love to see a multi-year skill plot for all global models similar to what is commonly shared for GFS vs. ECMWF. Instead of having to parse a bunch of individual month comparisons for specific observations.

Regardless, my criticism is towards the evidence presented in the article and the framing of the article.

> When it comes to medium range predictions. If you look at nowcasting, I believe the top dog is metnet 3 (https://arxiv.org/abs/2306.06079).

I don't consider 24 hour forecasts "medium range". And I don't really view MetNet-3 a competitor to GFS or ECMWF at all (currently).

I don't think the title of the article matches the content. The GFS has not declined relative to the ECMWF. It just started from a lower skill level and its improvements have not significantly closed the gap with ECMWF (as it has also improved).

> Specifically, NOAA's global model, the UFS, is now in third or fourth place behind the European Center, the UK Meteorology Office, and often the Canadians.

Would love to see evidence of that. It is well established that ECMWF is top in the game. I don't think it is reasonable to just state that Canada and UK are better without evidence.

With that said, I agree the US should improve.

Is this an AI article? It seems to be completely unsourced and has no clear explanation of what it is saying?

"the major reason for this Epic housing crisis in some of the" - Why is "epic" capitalized?

There is both a housing crunch and massive rental vacancy? No discussion of which metro areas? The article says rates are "historically low"? Like what is going on?

Unless you are talking about a very specific period in the last ten years, Boeing's stock has not "shot up". It is barely up over the last decade in a period when the total US market has nearly tripled.

Yeah. The categories seem to be:

  - Compact cars (rare) - <3K LBs
  - Sedans / cross-over SUVs (RAV4, Crosstrek) - 3-4K LBs
  - Small 3 row SUVs (Pilot) / real SUVs (Explorer / Jeep) - 4-5K LBs
  - Big SUVs (Expedition) / Trucks - 5K+ LBs

It's good. And the introduction of the Passwords app this fall will make it better.

But it seems to me that Apple only supports adding TOTP codes if you have a password for the account. Which is annoying if you want to split your passwords and second factor into two different places. (For example if you wanted Bitwarden for passwords and TOTP/Passkeys in Apple.)

You can of course put a dummy password in Apple. But that is kind of annoying.

I also don't think the comparison makes sense for a number of other reasons:

Microsoft had a real market share monopoly. Apple has a vertically integrated platform that tends to include the most monetarily valuable users.

Microsoft was regulated using long standing antitrust law and a court settlement outlining specific compliance steps. Apple is being regulated by a brand new, extraordinarily massive law that is untested with tons of unclear requirements.

Certainly, innovation might survive in the EU. But nothing about this post or comparison seems well reasoned.

If Apple were paying to use Google the partnership would not still exist today.

IMO this really feels like the Facebook / Twitter integration from early iOS. That only lasted a few years.

Apple clearly thinks it needs a dedicated LLM service atm. But still thinks it is only supplemental as they handle a bunch of the core stuff without it. And require explicit user consent to use OpenAI. And Apple clearly views it as a partial commodity since they even said they plan to add others.

Tough to bet against OpenAI right now...but this deal does not feel like a 10 year deal...

> If 2/32 died

Also his isn't quite correct. John Barnett (first death) left Boeing in 2017 and his whistle blowing did not occur within the last 3 years. The 32 complaints stat is for the last 3 years.

Also it's not even clear if the most recent death (Josh Dean) would be included in those stats. He worked for Spirit and claims that he reported improperly drilled holes in the 737 Max fuselage and that nothing was done. The claim would probably be against Spirit not Boeing. It's being reported in the media as Boeing, but in paperwork it would probably be against Spirit.

> got wider recognition through AWS's offering.

Other commentators have already pointed out that this is probably not true.

But MongoDB relicensed before Amazon could launch a direct hosted offering and it is the biggest of all these projects. It did not want nor did it need Amazon launching a hosted variant.

MongoDB was AGPL. They decided it was not sufficient to prevent an Amazon hosted MongoDB offering so they went down the path of SSPL.