TaurenHunter

You can't claim to protect society from anything without protecting individuals primarily. Society is not a herd in which you sacrifice an individual to save the rest.

You are responsible for your own interpretation/distortion.

Game theory, my friend.

If you can be like that, I can too.

The sheer hypocrisy

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/sep/02/hillary-clin...

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/jul/05/fbi-no-charg...

Also:

https://www.fbi.gov/news/press-releases/statement-by-fbi-dir...

"To be clear, this is not to suggest that in similar circumstances, a person who engaged in this activity would face no consequences. To the contrary, those individuals are often subject to security or administrative sanctions. But that is not what we are deciding now."

> Cryptocurrencies don't stand a chance.

...except for inflation.

Since this is just a speculation: China's government could throw a wrench in that.

Let's say they see Taiwan coming out of a negotiation with Trump implementing zero tariffs.

I wouldn't put it past them to do a naval blockade on Taiwan to "prevent the US from stealing their tax income" or some other excuse.

Far from being asleep, Congress is actively participating, just not the way you hoped for:

https://money.com/congress-stock-market-traders-2025/

Roughly 50% of the Americans don't own stocks.

They heard that stocks crashed but wouldn't care that some rich people lost some money.

Populism is only working now because the populace has been ignored for a long while.

They remember when they were told to "learn to code" when losing jobs.

Why don't you steelman the argument instead of using the most uncharitable interpretation possible?

Sure, there is a greater incentive now to depart the dollar system.

But that would be a monumental shift and the path to that goal is a nightmare with all kinds of challenges.

Rewiring the entire system would take a decade or more.

The global energy market uses the U.S. dollar for pricing and settling transactions since the 70s - the "petrodollar" system.

If they EU push hard for it, they may get someone like Norway to accept Euros.

However, there are energy contracts locked into dollar-based pricing and many exporters need dollars because they hold dollar-based debt, buy goods in dollars or have a currency peg.

For them to accept the relatively unappealing Euros they might ask for a premium to offset conversion costs or risks.

1/3 of the CPI is calculated using the rent variation smoothed in the last 6 months - which is not too elastic due to lease agreements. So it wouldn't be a major downward pressure.

Europe and other exporting countries will capitulate before that or face depression before the US. In a trade war, the exporting countries are at greater disadvantage. They need the dollars so they keep exporting and there are no other markets as big as the US to sell to.

If it dips too much that means interest rates will go lower, which will fuel another round of inflating real estate.

You've said "Instead we get tariffs with quick retaliation e.g. from China, and I still see no negotiation in place" and that was what I was responding to.

Regarding China's government there should be no expectation of negotiation because they have demonstrated over the years they will not play fair and shouldn't be trusted to do so now.

If you don't know that because you haven't tracked geopolitics, now you know, and can perhaps review your opinion about world trade, which is strongly related to geopolitics.

Now, regarding other countries, you can't say there is "no negotiation in place": https://www.npr.org/2025/04/06/nx-s1-5354134/vietnam-asks-tr...

Me too. Very nice!

> The problem in general is that we are all, the US Congress included, guessing what the goal is.

I was guessing too until I took the time to investigate and found there is a method to the madness.

Now, did you really expect negotiation with China? Do you think that was the intention? You gotta think critically rather than just lazily or emotionally assume everything was a failure.

Why your username shows as green?

Like so many other articles about this, it just scratches the surface and ignores completely that:

1) tariffs are a negotiation tool

2) one goal is to devalue the dollar so to encourage manufacturing/production in the US (learn what happened after the Plaza Accord)

3) another goal is to have allies (European countries) to contribute more to the collective defense

4) exclude hostile powers (such as China) and prevent them from abusing the free(er) economic sphere

Of course there are risks to that strategy:

1) tariffs are inflationary

2) central banks selling their US Treasuries to devalue the dollar would push up US interest rates

3) the dollar devaluation itself is inflationary

4) retaliatory tariffs

There are other policies to mitigate those risks. But the rabbit hole is already too deep and too many are not interested in learning but just yell that Trump sucks and vandalize Cybertrucks.

Why is the container jailed by the Minecraft server? How can something called Free BSD have a jail?

The Fed may raise interest rates, that is, proposing that securities be sold at a higher discount.

A fearful market may end up bidding up these securities anyway, bring the effective rate down.

Thank you for that! I didn't know about Yarvin nor List. I will try to find out more.

https://graymirror.substack.com/p/implementing-market-balanc...

> what Buffett suggests in the article is a cap and trade system on imports.

A H1B visa but for goods instead of people...

Interesting! Aren't Europeans known for their sectors of the economy that are heavily protected by tariffs?

Common Agricultural Policy?

Tariff rate for cars of 10% (compared to US' 2.5%)