Re:Trader Made Billions on Subprime
by byrneseyeview on Tuesday January 15, 2008 @09:09PM
(#99015)
I misunderstood you. My apologies. I was under the impression from other interviews in the book that Schwager followed the same strategy.
The thing is, trading can't be the only successful way to make money, or even more successful than other traders on average -- because trading implies buying more as the market confirms your views, and if that's profitable, it implies that traders will own all the world's assets, and every asset will either rise infinitely or collapse to zero.
If it helps, you could think of him as an arbitrageur betting that the mortgage market would converge with reality. That thesis relies on believing that the market misprices assets, so it seems that further mispricing would confirm it rather than belie it.
The thing is, trading can't be the only successful way to make money, or even more successful than other traders on average -- because trading implies buying more as the market confirms your views, and if that's profitable, it implies that traders will own all the world's assets, and every asset will either rise infinitely or collapse to zero.
If it helps, you could think of him as an arbitrageur betting that the mortgage market would converge with reality. That thesis relies on believing that the market misprices assets, so it seems that further mispricing would confirm it rather than belie it.