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Re:Bayes’ Theorem – What is it and what is it good for? by davidgerard on Friday June 26, 2015 @07:46AM (#9783650)
That post is like nobody there has ever heard the phrase "don't fall in love with your model".

Quite a lot of LessWrong posts are of the theme "my model gives this counterintuitive result" - the trouble is they go on to "AND THIS IS VERY IMPORTANT AND SIGNIFICANT!!" rather than "hmm, maybe my model needs work."

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