I have to say this is false. I work in that industry, and even when you have, say, a 4 drive RAID, and all 4 drives are the same model but intentionally different batches, you will still, more often than not, have 2 drive failures within 24 hours.

Now, what does this mean in, exactly? In that four drive scenario, RAID10 has a 1/3rd chance of failure (both failed drives being both the A or B parts of the inner RAID 0s is two out of six possible scenarios), RAID5 will fail no matter which two drives, RAID6 will survive no matter which two drives, ZFS's RAID-Z3 (three parity RAID5/6) will survive no matter which three drives, and RAID1 will survive no matter which three drives.

RAID10 is the most performant of the possible outcomes, and the usual makeup of a 4 drive array unless you absolutely need the storage, then its usually RAID5; unless you seriously do not care about sanity at all, then its RAID0 or just independent disks.

Now, my suggestion for 15 hour rebuild times? Whatever you do, have a hotspare so it can begin immediately rebuilding and do not use any RAID variant that can't handle more than 2 failures in 15 hours. This means no RAID10 or RAID5, only RAID6 or RAID-Z3.

Ceph mitigates this 15 hour time because it can rebuild a lost drive by just allocating new blocks on every other drive simultaneously and maxing out your network and/or storage IO (whichever is slowest) so the window of potential doom is much smaller (depending on Ceph cluster size, obviously, bigger the better in this case).