News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by protomyth on Monday October 26, 2009 @02:41PM (#903850)
About 15 years ago, I was at a state sponsored meeting in Minot ND. A group the state hired was there telling us about risk factors in the community. The group hired was from the west coast and all the research they cited was studies done in low income urban areas. They pointed out guns were a big risk factor. The head of one of the local social service programs took exception to this. He asked how many people in the room owned a gun. With the exception of myself, everyone raised their hands (my parents owned firearms and I never bought one myself). He then started counting upwards and more then half owned over 3 firearms. He felt the study had no relevance to the area. Examine Switzerland for another example of prevalent firearms.

People inclined to do violence to others will do so regardless of the weapons available. Swimming pools are more dangerous to children than firearms in the house. My take has always been that the weakening of one amendment will allow avenues of attack on the others.

Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by Empact on Monday October 26, 2009 @04:51PM (#904129)
Some further evidence: over the past 30 years, concealed carry laws have loosened dramatically (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Rtc.gif), while crime has consistently declined, including year over year in the states at the time they loosen their restrictions.

This year, Washington D.C. had an 17% drop in murder rate (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/07...), immediately following the overturn of their gun ban via the Heller decision. Which is not to say the decision is responsible for the drop, but even if the impact was negative, it was swamped by other minor factors such as the rain.

I'm more and more convinced that gun restrictions have everything to do with perceived, rather than actual safety.

Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by die_sekte on Monday October 26, 2009 @03:56PM (#904020)
I read somewhere that total crime rates in Switzerland are comparable to other European countries' rates, but that Switzerland has higher gun crime rates compared to other European countries' rates.
Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by protomyth on Monday October 26, 2009 @04:15PM (#904061)
I do believe you are correct (I remember the same thing). People use what they have, but being dead from a knife is still dead. I find the rate of various crimes important as opposed to the tools used. Tools can be substituted.
Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by Kevin_C on Monday October 26, 2009 @07:34PM (#904392)
Tools generally only have partial substitutes. (From memory only...) Suicides decreased in the UK when catalytic converters became required on cars: other means of suicide remain available, but most are harder for the potential suicide than sitting in a car with a pipe from the exhaust through the window.

Knives are substitutes for guns, but it's harder to kill 10 people with a knife than with an automatic. Which may explain why generally (always with exceptions) high gun ownership correlates with high homicides.

Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by steve19 on Tuesday October 27, 2009 @12:24AM (#904825)
What you are saying is that massacres are easier with guns.

Killing one person with a knife is not harder than with a gun. A criminal willing to kill is going to do it with one, or the other, or both.

Just look at the UK. Violence is bad and there is a total ban on handguns and a near total ban on just about everything else (many restrictions and you need a purpose to own the gun - self defense and for "fun" are not reasons - eg. farming, deer huting, formal target shooting )

Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by protomyth on Monday October 26, 2009 @11:31PM (#904734)
I believe "high gun ownership correlates with high homicides" to be false. Maybe for a specific demographic or area, but in the middle of the country it just isn't so. I used to work the social work circuit in data collections and research; and the prejudices of the people doing the study show in their interpretation of the raw data and the conclusions they reach.

As we were reminded of today in tragic fashion, suicide bombers seem to get a pretty high body count without using a gun.

Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by Kevin_C on Tuesday October 27, 2009 @12:10AM (#904793)
"in the middle of the country it just isn't so" ?

That point of view seems rather US-centric. (Apologies if I've misinterpreted what you meant.) My point was in relation to different countries, higher gun ownership correlates with higher death by gun. I was not comparing different geographic areas within the US. It's obviously a complicated question with many influencing factors, but ignoring the availability of guns does seem to fly in the face of the evidence.

Given that the US has high homicide rates, compared to other countries, then if high availability of guns in the US is not a contributing factor, then what would you saw were the relevant factors?

"suicide bombers seem to get a pretty high body count without using a gun" ?

Absolutely. Suicide bombers can probably achieve a higher murder rate than people with guns, much as people with guns can achieve a higher murder rate than people with knives, and people with knives can achieve a higher murder rate than people with clubs.

High availability of suicide bombers in a society is likely to lead to a higher homicide rate than in a society where suicide bombers are not so prevalent. High availability of guns in a society is likely to lead to a higher homicide rate than in a society where guns are not so prevalent.

So, given the discussion is about the availability of guns, I'm not sure of your point here.

Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by protomyth on Tuesday October 27, 2009 @12:36AM (#904844)
Yeah, I'm a little US-centric because I know the local stats better. For the most part, I blame relative economic class and family problems (e.g. abuse). I find blaming an object to mask the real problems in our lives. It's like blaming the engine when you run out of gas.
Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by Zarkonnen on Monday October 26, 2009 @06:19PM (#904289)
Switzerland is actually a very bad example to use. The unusally (for Europe) high number of firearms there is because the members of the militia army keep an assault rifle at home. This is rather different from a handgun or a shotgun, and you're not allowed to use them outside military training.
Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by protomyth on Monday October 26, 2009 @11:36PM (#904743)
In a lot of ways, I think it is a very good example. They have access and advanced training (assault rifles are actually very hard to use). The fact that the citizens obey the law and don't use their weapons for greater crime is telling.
Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by mistermann on Tuesday October 27, 2009 @12:52AM (#904868)
Correct. Guns are not the problem, culture is the problem. But if you have a bad culture, firearms can make it worse. But the reverse can also be true.
Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by Zarkonnen on Tuesday October 27, 2009 @02:34PM (#906035)
But would you want to use an assault rifle in a mugging?
Re:Ask HN: What have you changed your mind about recently? by mpf62 on Wednesday October 28, 2009 @07:05AM (#907550)
I can’t see much difference in comparison to a shotgun. I have had training with the older Sig SG 510 and the newer Sig SG 550 assault rifle of the Swiss Army and they’re both about as easy to use as an airgun.

Even if you walk around in public with your assault rifle, nobody becomes suspicious. Active members of the army have to show up for a mandatory shooting program every year and shooting matches are very common too, so “Rambo look-alikes” on the streets aren’t an unusual appearance in Switzerland.

Nevertheless, 40% of all homicides are commited by cut and thrust weapons and “only” 10% by guns. The latter accounts for about 70% in the US.