Re:How Likely Is Someone Accused of Assault by Multiple Peop...
by jeffdavis on Tuesday December 23, 2014 @04:27PM
(#8790322)
This article is reckless. The author throws out a mathematical model regarding a very sensitive subject with no evidence that the model reflects reality.
In effect, it just gives a mathematical veneer to the author's guesses. Similar to how wearing a lab coat while stating your opinion makes it seem scientific.
(The most obvious issue is non-independence, but there are plenty of other problems.)
Re:How Likely Is Someone Accused of Assault by Multiple Peop...
by skj on Tuesday December 23, 2014 @05:26PM
(#8790573)
Exactly correct. It was more or less, "Given this model, my assumptions are correct!", completely missing the point that the model was the assumption itself.
In effect, it just gives a mathematical veneer to the author's guesses. Similar to how wearing a lab coat while stating your opinion makes it seem scientific.
(The most obvious issue is non-independence, but there are plenty of other problems.)