That would be incredible commitment if they came back three times to guess at schedules.
Most home robberies are of the kick the door in, grab the obvious valuables in literally seconds, and get out and away variety. The door-to-door ruse is a perfect filter that there probably isn't a person or a big dog behind the door.
Door-to-door campaigns have always been an enormous nuisance, but in light of their use by criminals (well, more obvious criminals), it really needs to be prohibited.
They also went around on trash day recording on their map who was throwing out giant cardboard boxes formerly containing large screen TVs, but those are now getting so cheap and so uncomfortably large that they're not so much of a target anymore. My 42 inch would have sold for several thousand maybe a decade ago, but now its just a couple hundred bucks, why even bother, compared to grabbing some laptops or jewelry.