Re:Cognitive Biases in Software Engineering
by alphagenerator on Monday June 30, 2014 @11:49AM
(#7965661)
I think projecting overconfidence is a social/political survival strategy. The 50% accurate thing is just the hidden reality everyone acknowledges. It's sort of like how people are polite when confronted with ugly babies.
The first antidote is educating people about interdependencies and overconfidence. The second is introducing management.