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Re:"OpenSSL has exploit mitigation countermeasures to make s... by joshuak on Wednesday April 09, 2014 @07:02AM (#7558627)
"the absence of evidence is not the evidence of absence"

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Argument_from_ignorance

Re:"OpenSSL has exploit mitigation countermeasures to make s... by TeMPOraL on Wednesday April 09, 2014 @07:49AM (#7558739)
Re:"OpenSSL has exploit mitigation countermeasures to make s... by joshuak on Wednesday April 09, 2014 @03:14PM (#7561612)
Interesting. However, your sources are rather obscure, and I'm not sure what you mean by "a weak form."

I'd say a Baysian analysis is a way to evaluate the veracity of an argument from ignorance, not necessarily a replacement of that argument. An argument from ignorance is a strict subset of a baysian analysis in which there is no causal relationship between the missing evidence, and the conclusion. This is such a case. So we can conclude by using a baysian analysis that this is in fact an argument of ignorance.

Unless, of course, you have additional statistical samples that show a non zero relationship between not knowing about NSAs activity and the fact that they are engaged in that activity.