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A comment on The Parable of Google Flu: Traps in Big Data Analysis [pdf].
Gist of it is, Google Trends overestimated flu cases by about double for 100 out of 108 weeks, according to the paper.
Edit: There is actually an interesting podcast available on it without a paywall: http://podcasts.aaas.org/science_podcast/SciencePodcast_1403...
Well, there's a simple solution to that... Just halve all of the results from the current algorithm!
Gist of it is, Google Trends overestimated flu cases by about double for 100 out of 108 weeks, according to the paper.
Edit: There is actually an interesting podcast available on it without a paywall: http://podcasts.aaas.org/science_podcast/SciencePodcast_1403...