Perhaps but the 200k in question was last transferred in 2011 (until they found it and moved it very recently).

At least the reddit discussions I've been directed to have been very unscientific— more pseudo-scientific in that they dump a bunch of data and throw around some technical terms. Though there may be some selection bias since people are probably more likely to ask me for my opinion on the more questionable work.

Ah. Thank you for correcting me. For what it's worth, your explanations are what I had in mind when talking about the scientificness of the investigations. I probably should have said "nullc has been doing a great job of making sure people don't get carried away with unfounded speculation" and left it at that though.

Until otherwise proven, it's coincidence. Assuming just complicates things.

People "assumed" about that 200k wallet over a month ago. "Proven" is subjective and a rhetoric that has agenda on its own.