Re:Mt. Gox Files for Bankruptcy Protection
by michaelt on Friday February 28, 2014 @09:45AM
(#7318908)
Assume, a deposit-trade-withdraw transaction takes 1 hour, and the chance of an exchange failing in a given hour is 0.01%.
If you perform a single $100,000 transaction, there is a 0.01% chance you will lose $100,000. So on average your loss is $10 but in the worst case your loss is $100,000.
If you perform 100 transactions of $1,000 (taking 100 hours) there's (roughly) a 1% chance you'll lose $1,000 so your average loss is still $10 but in the worst case your loss is only $1,000.
I agree that performing 100 transactions over 4+ days sounds like a right hassle, and prices might change by the time your trade finishes - whether this precaution is worthwhile depends on your taste for risk and whether you're trading $100 or your entire life savings in bitcoins :)
Personally if I had a million dollars of bitcoins, the last person I'd trust with it would be a bitcoin exchange :)
If you perform a single $100,000 transaction, there is a 0.01% chance you will lose $100,000. So on average your loss is $10 but in the worst case your loss is $100,000.
If you perform 100 transactions of $1,000 (taking 100 hours) there's (roughly) a 1% chance you'll lose $1,000 so your average loss is still $10 but in the worst case your loss is only $1,000.
I agree that performing 100 transactions over 4+ days sounds like a right hassle, and prices might change by the time your trade finishes - whether this precaution is worthwhile depends on your taste for risk and whether you're trading $100 or your entire life savings in bitcoins :)
Personally if I had a million dollars of bitcoins, the last person I'd trust with it would be a bitcoin exchange :)