Sounds very cool, I found the link in your profile and thought others might be interested to read more also: http://www.gleamviz.org/
As an Indy resident, cool to see this is happening at IU.
So, what are you predicting for the future?
H1N1/A seems to be taking over seasonal flu in the southern hemisphere. Chances are that if you get the flu over the next 6-9 months, it will be H1N1/A. What this means in terms of actual number of cases and fatalities depends on the rate of mutation and how quickly the vaccine becomes available.
Do you mind if I pass your info to someone working on a similar, but more general framework? He is a fellow Lisper of mine and published a book on the subject as well. NYC based.
Cheers!
I've been working on a global model of epidemic spreading for about a year now (the project was actually started about 3 years ago). The idea is to be able to forecast the progression of the disease across the globe as in where it will hit next, how many cases, there will be, the efficacy of possible governmental interventions, etc... (think weather forecast for disease spreading)
Swine flu came around just when we had finished testing a more detailed traveling model. It's been holding up pretty well so far!