Let's keep in mind that there is a pretty good example of external pressure and/or threat of persecution elevating suicide rates: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suicide_among_LGBT_youth

If you also consider the differential susceptibility thesis (which seems to apply to Aaron rather well) then it's easy to argue that the government's conduct most likely did significantly contribute: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Differential_susceptibility_hyp...