Because the concept of an instantly transferable easily stored and hidden immune from state control pseudonymous electronic currency having any amount of success is clearly just as random and unpredictable as the result of a roulette wheel spin.

Maybe, maybe not. That's certainly a topic worth discussing.

I was just refuting a3voices's assertion that a rise in value alone made it a good investment. That's outcome based thinking and it's wrong.

You're picking out the positives and purposefully avoiding the negatives.

No analysis no matter how biased is going to seriously come to the conclusion that bitcoin having any success is purely as random as a roulette wheel. I challenge you to come up with something even vaguely plausible along these lines, no matter how pessimistic you want to get.

Yes if you had good enough information that it was likely. Anyone following Bitcoin for the past few years knew there was a very high chance of this happening.

Really? And how many bitcoins did you buy in 2011?

About 600

OK, so if we're talking about $5 per bitcoin you thought there was a "very high chance" of a 200 to 1 gain and you only put three grand in?

Weird choice there.

Not everyone is rich. It was a very significant portion of my savings at the time.

Protip: As a newly registered user, it's obvious you're trying to be someone you're not.

a3voices != a3vioces

Yeah, I didn't post that. Kind of weird.

What's interesting about this is that you can show us...