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Re:Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today ... by fragsworth on Tuesday November 26, 2013 @09:42PM (#6805937)
If by 'early adopter' you mean 'in it before the price skyrocketed', then yes.

I don't believe I'm a slow learner, but it took me about 1 year from first learning about Bitcoin to becoming comfortable enough with the technology to speculate on it.

I honestly believe it will replace Gold as a store of value, but it will take a very long time for the general public to understand it enough and/or trust it enough that they'll sell any amount of gold for bitcoins. But when they do, perhaps in a slow process that peaks around 15 years from now, the value of a single bitcoin could end up somewhere around $300k.

I personally estimate the likelihood of this being around 10-15%. So yeah, I'm still buying more today.

Re:Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today ... by michaelochurch on Tuesday November 26, 2013 @09:56PM (#6805994)
Gold and BitCoin don't compare well. Here's why. Sure, gold is "useless", except for the fact that its value is historically verified (over centuries) and culture-independent. If nothing else, it's used in jewelry (and drugs, and electronics).

There aren't many elements on the periodic table, and even fewer are viable as metallic currencies: rare enough to have value in small weight, not so rare as to be foreign (historically) to many cultures. Gold has a visceral, visual advantage, too: it's the only yellow metal.

On the other hand, anyone can launch a new cryptocurrency. There's no natural monopoly there. The idea is valid, but all Bitcoin has to defend itself against competition is the brand/reputation. And people hate Bitcoin because it was clearly set up to favor early adopters for no good reason.

Re:Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today ... by johndevor on Tuesday November 26, 2013 @10:31PM (#6806135)
If it hadn't favored early adopters... there wouldn't have been early adopters.
Re:Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today ... by sireat on Wednesday November 27, 2013 @05:27AM (#6807420)
Well, it has favored the early adopters a few magnitudes too much. I am not comfortable with someone holding 10% of currency.

If Satoshi came out of the high tower and announced plans for his stash, I would feel a little bit better. When/if BTC hits 1m/BTC his stash would be worth 2T and that is a lot of claim checks on society.

Re:Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today ... by mike_esspe on Tuesday November 26, 2013 @10:05PM (#6806031)
Silver was historically verified too. But it lost it's value in the 20th century, when people stopped using it as a money.
Re:Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today ... by adventured on Tuesday November 26, 2013 @10:21PM (#6806102)
Silver took a sizable hit, but it has retained value. It still has two aspects to it that are very valuable: industrial and jewelry / fashion. Those are likely to remain for a very long time, providing silver with a value base.
Re:Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today ... by mike_esspe on Wednesday November 27, 2013 @12:48AM (#6806664)
It's gold ratio fell from 16:1 in 19th century to 100:1 in 1930s.

Getting only 15% of your savings is not a good result :)

Re:Ask HN: Do you consider people buying into Bitcoin today ... by pyalot2 on Wednesday November 27, 2013 @03:29AM (#6807106)
It's not so bad either, imagine you held the continental dollar or the zimbabwe dollar, or even just the USD since 1975. They did worse than silver.