Re:My deadly disease was just a 23andme bug
by DanBC on Monday November 25, 2013 @06:51PM
(#6797991)
> My hypothesis is that having more information cannot result in a worse average outcome, given a rational response to the information
Rational response to shadows on the lung in a CT scan is more scanning and more testing. The results of the further tests carry a risk. The benefits are zero for anyone without a disease, and low for anyone with a disease. That's a worse than average outcome for almost everyone taking those extra un-needed tests.
> No, early intervention is not always better.
There are many men who've had traumatic treatment for prostate cancer because of the results of early intervention style treatments. Many of those men would have died with, not of, prostate cancer. Thus, their lives have suffered because of a rational response to an early intervention.
Rational response to shadows on the lung in a CT scan is more scanning and more testing. The results of the further tests carry a risk. The benefits are zero for anyone without a disease, and low for anyone with a disease. That's a worse than average outcome for almost everyone taking those extra un-needed tests.
> No, early intervention is not always better.
There are many men who've had traumatic treatment for prostate cancer because of the results of early intervention style treatments. Many of those men would have died with, not of, prostate cancer. Thus, their lives have suffered because of a rational response to an early intervention.