News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:Not the autoworkers of our generation by WalterSear on Monday September 02, 2013 @09:15PM (#6318161)
There might not be ways to automate everything, but there will certainly be changes to how we do things that facilitate the replacement and downsizing of some otherwise 'creative' jobs. A housekeeper can be replaced by modifying the nature of the house - a fridge that keeps itself stocked and roombas that actually do a proper job, for example.

My point is that the qualitative difference between a creative and non-creative job is mitigated to some extent by all the 'non-creative' stuff we have to do every day. So even knowledge workers are not immune to 'dumb' automation. An example of this would be remote work and off-shoring, which has opened up software development projects to global competition.

However, the argument still stands - knowledge workers aren't unionized manual labour and if robots are going to replace everything, someone has to program the robots. And, there's easily going to be more 'robots' tomorrow than today for some time to come. So what could end the 'world automation' gravy train we are on right now?

IMHO, the average knowledge worker has a much clearer and more present danger that the chance they might be making themselves redundant - and one that would affect pretty much everyone, not just knowledge workers. They should more concerned about that other thing that destroys demand: financial destruction. The redundancy threat that knowledge workers should be concerned about are the sins of our owners coming home to roost; another depression.

Re:Not the autoworkers of our generation by imsky on Monday September 02, 2013 @10:13PM (#6318332)
Knowledge workers are definitely not immune to automation, I've acknowledged that in the post. They do set the bar quite high for software and intelligent agents, however.

Regarding your last point, I think a knowledge worker smart enough to automate themselves out of a job will be smart enough to capitalize on that discovery. Moreover, there will always be tasks people will prefer done manually, knowledge-based or otherwise.

Re:Not the autoworkers of our generation by wildgift on Monday September 02, 2013 @10:36PM (#6318410)
What if the problems to solve are becoming easier to solve, because we're more plugged-in into an infrastructure of information? That eliminates work.

Standards are a good example. We love them, but, in a way, they eliminate the creation of middleware jobs that transform the data from one format to another.

Re:Not the autoworkers of our generation by imsky on Tuesday September 03, 2013 @10:47AM (#6321265)
Good point, but it touches on a refrain I've seen in the comments: that it might be better to keep the world in an inefficient state. Standards rise up after the complexity of interoperability becomes too much to handle.

As to your point about information, the volume of data these days requires increasingly sophisticated analysis. There seems to be a shift in sentiment around Big Data, that algorithms are still too unsophisticated to provide useful output, and that's a good sign that not only is there a lot of work to be done in this area, but a large volume of information doesn't automatically guarantee quality insight.