I'm sure you hope they're chasing wild geese, but from where I'm sitting, almost all Flash usage on the web, weighted by user volume, falls into two categories: that requiring video, and that which web browsers can already do pretty well without plug-ins. Thus once browsers have semi-decent video support, much of the need for Flash on the web will disappear.

If you're holding onto a lot of Adobe options, you might want to hope a little harder about that goose-chase thing. As for me, I'm betting on the browsers and genuinely open standards: so far, that duo has slowly crushed everything else.

Gotta love those disruptive technologies.