If you want to see the future of computing just look at all the things in computing's past that we've "forgotten" or "written off." Maybe we should look at some of those ideas we've dismissed, those ideas that we've decided "have MAJOR deficiencies and stumbling blocks", and write them back in?
The times have changed. Our devices are faster, denser, and cheaper now. Maybe let's go revisit the past and see what we wrote off because our devices then were too slow, too sparse, or too expensive. We shouldn't be so arrogant as to think that we can see clearer or farther than the people who came before.
That's a theme I see in many of Bret's talks. I spend my days thinking about programming education and I can relate. The art when it comes to programming education today is a not even close to the ideas described in Seymour Papert's Mindstorms, which he wrote in 1980.
LOGO had its failings but at least it was visionary. What are MOOCs doing to push the state of the art, really? Not that it's their job to push the state of the art -- but somebody should be!
This is consistent with other thing's he's written. For example, read A Brief Rant on the Future of Interaction Design (http://worrydream.com/ABriefRantOnTheFutureOfInteractionDesi...). Not only does he use the same word in his title ("future"), but he makes similar points and relates the future to the past in a similar way.
"And yes, the fruits of this research are still crude, rudimentary, and sometimes kind of dubious. But look —
In 1968 — three years before the invention of the microprocessor — Alan Kay stumbled across Don Bitzer's early flat-panel display. Its resolution was 16 pixels by 16 pixels — an impressive improvement over their earlier 4 pixel by 4 pixel display.
Alan saw those 256 glowing orange squares, and he went home, and he picked up a pen, and he drew a picture of a goddamn iPad.
[picture of a device sketch that looks essentially identical to an iPad]
And then he chased that carrot through decades of groundbreaking research, much of which is responsible for the hardware and software that you're currently reading this with.
That's the kind of ambitious, long-range vision I'm talking about. Pictures Under Glass is old news. Let's start using our hands."
Maybe it is just a tone thing. Alan Kay did something notable - he drew the iPad, he didn't run around saying "somebody should invent something based on this thing I saw".
Flat works, and so do fingers. If you are going to denigrate design based on that, well, let's see the alternative that is superior. I'd love to live through a Xerox kind of revolution again.
Next, read the following essays of his: Explorable Explanations, Learnable Programming, and Up and Down The Ladder of Abstractions
Do you still think he's all talk?
Also, I can't tell if you were implying otherwise, butAlan Kay did a few other notable things like Smalltalk and OOP.
Alan Kay is awesome. He did change things for the better, I'm sorry if you thought I meant otherwise . His iPad sketch was of something that had immediately obvious value. A scrubbing calculator? Not so much.
The future in that talk means "today"