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Re:Kanban – The Secret Engineer Killer by jacques_chester on Sunday July 28, 2013 @11:05PM (#6119134)
The 95%-of-diets-fail number comes from a single study in an obesity clinic performed in 1959. Followup studies, also at obesity clinics, found comparably high rates of recidivism.

But when you take the most pathological cases of obesity in a time before obesity was the norm, unsurprisingly those cases are ... pathological. There is a pathology.

These aren't normal people who grew overweight under conditions of stunning caloric abundance.

So let's stop quoting this statistic because the sample bias is kindly stupidly important to its interpretation.

Re:Kanban – The Secret Engineer Killer by bdehaaff on Sunday July 28, 2013 @11:12PM (#6119148)
Thanks for the comment. I actually spent a considerably amount of time looking for a meaningful reference. I found the Popkess-Vawter 1998 reference, but could not find the original text. Do you have a better number for "failure" or reference that I could use? I would be happy to update the post.
Re:Kanban – The Secret Engineer Killer by jacques_chester on Sunday July 28, 2013 @11:19PM (#6119166)
Hard to say. Either you rely on clinical studies, which give you pathologically-skewed sample bias, or you use the National Weight Control Registry, which will be skewed to people wanting to report successful weight control.
Re:Kanban – The Secret Engineer Killer by bdehaaff on Sunday July 28, 2013 @11:28PM (#6119207)
Thanks. I am not an expert in this area (diet success data) and was simply trying to use an analogy. I guess I will leave it as is. I am not sure what else to do -- it seems that leaving it with no reference would be worse.
Re:Kanban – The Secret Engineer Killer by jacques_chester on Sunday July 28, 2013 @11:30PM (#6119213)
Well at least you can join the noble ranks of folk whose writing was tangentially nitpicked in the very first HN comment.
Re:Kanban – The Secret Engineer Killer by bdehaaff on Sunday July 28, 2013 @11:38PM (#6119245)
Happens every time. I have learned to expect it. It does make me spend a little more time though thinking through the counter arguments that are likely to be fired like spears.
Re:Kanban – The Secret Engineer Killer by jacques_chester on Sunday July 28, 2013 @11:40PM (#6119254)
Comments like mine are why I always answer "please no" in those hypotheticals about meeting yourself.