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Re:Inside the Race to Build the World’s Fastest Bitcoin Miner by Nursie on Tuesday April 23, 2013 @01:03PM (#5596367)
Unless I've interpreted BTC wrong - this means that as soon as they go live, the current miners are going to see their returns drop by 2/3? And if many are already at the edge of profitability in terms of electricity/BTC, they'll drop off the network?

The BTC network may be utterly dominated by ASIC players within a few weeks.

Are they any more energy efficient than racks of GPUs?

Re:Inside the Race to Build the World’s Fastest Bitcoin Miner by mrb on Tuesday April 23, 2013 @02:48PM (#5597142)
A decent GPU would still be plenty profitable even after a 3x difficulty increase. For example the HD 7970 (about $400) currently mines $130/month, with electrical costs around $15/month assuming a worldwide average rate of $0.10/kWh, making a $115/month profit. After a 3x diff increase, this would turn to $45/mo revenues and $30/mo profits.

However this 140 Thash/s of Avalon chips is just a fraction of what is about to hit the network. All ASIC vendors combined, plus future Avalon deliveries will push the difficulty far more than 3x higher in the next 4-6 months.

Current ASICs do 150-200 Mhash/Joule (at 12V). Much better than GPUs topping out at 3-4 Mhash/Joule (at 12V).

Re:Inside the Race to Build the World’s Fastest Bitcoin Miner by notaddicted on Tuesday April 23, 2013 @03:23PM (#5597353)
Yeah. My estimate of the total amount invested in pre-ASIC hardware is 60 million, not counting power.

The key questions to predict ASIC mining profitability is:

- how much will be invested in ASIC hardware

- future prices of bitcoin

- how long will it take for the ASIC hardware to roll out

The only "easy-money" I see here is if you have access to ASIC mining hardware _right now_.

Re:Inside the Race to Build the World’s Fastest Bitcoin Miner by jacquesm on Tuesday April 23, 2013 @01:16PM (#5596470)
> Are they any more energy efficient than racks of GPUs?

Vastly. GPU's are space heaters compared to ASICs and FPGA's.