I run a much smaller app that's bootstrapped, but we have hit top 100 free apps in the App Store before, and have been featured in the section our app is in, so I'd like to think I've learned at least a couple things -- tweens and teens more or less dominate app store explosive growth with regards to social apps.
I think the sticker chat is definitely something that those teens are into. That being said, those same teens mostly just care about followers and likes, which is why Instagram is quite the 100 pound gorilla in the room. Believe it or not, there are tons of folks on IG with tens of thousands of followers, who on twitter or Facebook have 10-100 followers. It is the de-facto mobile social network.
Honestly Path is a damn beautiful app, but because Path does not have enough content, people will leave. Period. It would be interesting to hear what the engagement numbers are on that 6M.
However, I couldn't get over how slow the experience is. The app itself is snappy enough (well, 2.x was; 3.0 appears to have slowed down a bit). The network communication is terrible. Loading anything takes way longer than my patience allows, and far too often I get an error message stating that the app was unable to contact Path.
It's simply unacceptable, especially for a mobile-only service. I don't have latency problems with the mobile apps for Facebook, Twitter, or Google+. Just Path.
For that reason (and also because the checkin feature just stopped working, claiming it could never find my location), I uninstalled it last August and gave up. I just reinstalled to see what 3.0 is like, and still find the same problems. Tried 3G, tried WiFi, and it's so ridiculously slow, and I still get timeouts every now and then.
I think the app is beautiful and has great UX, and loved being able to tag people, tag locations, and even mirror selectively to Foursquare, Twitter, and Facebook. But using it was (and I'm afraid still is, though I'll give it a few days; at least the check-in feature appears to be working properly again) just a horribly frustrating experience.
You know what we use instead? Whatsapp. If it were pitched to us as a social network, we'd have passed but free international messaging (at a time no other app did)? Sign us all up!. It's fast, it's simple, it's our private social network.
Maybe with Path's addition of messaging, things will change. But if you could bring your app to Blackberry, that would be a huge help.
Having said that, as much as I like Path, I do sometimes feel like I'm doing them a favour promoting it so aggressively, and the favour hasn't quite been returned yet.
I'll keep trying Path once every few months, maybe one day it will stick.
Honestly it doesn't work. It's not sth that's filling a gap. They have Twitter/Facebook/IG (very few are still into Orkut :P) blah-blah. So, they just won't use it.
It's not everyone who hates those farmville updates, spam links etc (like me or many others). Most are just fine with it. AAMOF most of my friends enthusiastically re-share those bs videos(some are not even videos). Taste for a minimal and clean experience is sth very scarce.
All this happens on desktop, in a browser. Not in the mobile app. Mobile app just a link for them(and for me too) to look at sth new and very interesting(if there at all) and then use the app extensively on the desktop.
Actually I am not very positively hopeful about apps like WhatsApp either. It's not uniform. Hell, I would rather chat with GTalk everywhere - both desktop and phone, rather than WhatsApp on phone and then Gtalk on desktop. I love the idea of keeping messaging/chat separated from mail but it needs to come everywhere.
Only apps I successfully converted many in my circle with are Dropbox, Astrid/Any.do, Evernote(maximum)/SimpleNote(because of the very good Windows app Resoph), WhatsApp, Pocket etc - because they filled a gap more or less.
One product note. I like path because it is only my immediate family, so the suggesting friends thing is a little annoying (because I think it will be less valuable to me of I add more people).
Undoubtedly it's a beautiful app with really great feature. But I am really not sure if "no web - only mobile/app" is such a brilliant idea. It's not working on this side of the globe at least; but again, this side is never the focus of devs(even those who are in this part of the world or from this part).
I see the number of reviews on Google Play and can't help but think - out of them many are users who installed Path, realized it's a gorgeous app, left a good review and left after remaining alone for sometime and never came back.
Maybe the goal is not only that a persons should have as many friends only as many he actually needs/deservers(150?) but also that path should not be used by more than some number of people path needs/deserves(how many?).