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Re:Massive glacier collapse by gd1 on Monday February 04, 2013 @03:31PM (#5166896)
Does it sound by my post that I am ignorant of these "multiple" reconstructions? They all use the same proxies and similar techniques, Esper, Briffa, bristle cones, etc. I have read a good number of them. They are all awful.

Paleoclimatology isn't any worse than some other soft sciences I guess - the difference is that there isn't so much riding on them being right.

Re:Massive glacier collapse by scarmig on Monday February 04, 2013 @06:00PM (#5167821)
For the interested, check out Wahl and Ammann 2007 that addresses the simplistic criticism that gd1 offers.
Re:Massive glacier collapse by kevinskii on Tuesday February 05, 2013 @02:22PM (#5172643)
Wahl and Ammann 2007 does not appear to adequately address gd1's points. It just applies a slightly different statistical approach using the same flawed premise.

There are countless arguments and rebuttals to be found on both sides of the debate, but I've found the ones below to be particularly helpful:

Pro Hockey Stick:

[1] Original MBH98 paper (PDF): http://stephenschneider.stanford.edu/Publications/PDF_Papers...

[2] Wahl and Ammann 2007 (PDF): http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/ccr/ammann/millennium/refs/Wahl_Clim...

[3] Wikipedia article: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hockey_stick_controversy

[4] Real Climate Hockey Stick "Dummies Guide" (PDF): http://www.realclimate.org/dummies.pdf

Skeptical of Hockey Stick:

[5] Skeptic blog post "Casper and the Jesus Paper": http://bishophill.squarespace.com/blog/2008/8/11/caspar-and-...

[6] "The Hockey Stick Illusions" book (same skeptic author): http://www.amazon.com/The-Hockey-Stick-Illusion-Climategate/...

[7] McIntyre & McKitrick 2003 (PDF): http://climateaudit.files.wordpress.com/2005/09/mcintyre.mck...

Re:Massive glacier collapse by eqreqeq on Monday February 04, 2013 @11:40PM (#5169128)
Thanks. It would definitely have been better for those listening to this discussion to hear your counterpoints rather than me having to go look it up in a sea of words. Especially since I'm not really interested in the field. Also, you called his criticism simplistic without explaining why. Not very good manners.