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Re:My Developer friends are upset about Apple vs Amazon by yummyfajitas on Sunday February 03, 2013 @03:24PM (#5160999)
They believe Amazon has a greater chance of being in the same or stronger position in 12 - 24 months relative to their competitors...

This article is generally good, but this bit is wrong. The markets believe Amazon will be in a stronger position in 12-24 months. Relative to competitors is mostly irrelevant - if Amazon is the last man standing, but has shrunk 50%, you still lost 50%. Similarly, if amazon grows 100% but it's competitor grows 200%, you still doubled your money.

(The only place where "relative to competitors" matters is if you have some reason to throw a fixed amount of money into a sector, but you are free to pick the best of the sector.)

Re:My Developer friends are upset about Apple vs Amazon by sliverstorm on Sunday February 03, 2013 @03:41PM (#5161062)
Relative to competitors is mostly irrelevant - if Amazon is the last man standing, but has shrunk 50%, you still lost 50%.

Yeah, but if you are primarily wondering where to put your money, it is relevant! If it's "Invest in Amazon" vs. "Invest in Amazon competitor", Amazon outperforming the competitor is much more important than Amazon's absolute performance.

Re:My Developer friends are upset about Apple vs Amazon by yummyfajitas on Sunday February 03, 2013 @04:02PM (#5161135)
As I said in my parenthetical, if you are limited to investing in Amazon or it's competitors, that's true.

Most investors, however, can put their money into BP, GS or GM if AMZN and all it's competitors are tanking.

Re:My Developer friends are upset about Apple vs Amazon by sliverstorm on Sunday February 03, 2013 @04:09PM (#5161160)
Not if you believe in variety. Unless you believe e-retail is fundamentally doomed, if you want diversity in your investments you ought to have at least some holdings in e-retail, even if BP is outperforming Amazon.
Re:My Developer friends are upset about Apple vs Amazon by 18pfsmt on Sunday February 03, 2013 @07:19PM (#5161809)
In general, investing in consumer facing stocks is not desirable. They are subject to greater volatility, and more people believe they understand your business because they are consumers of your product which can lead to further distortions in share price (to the positive or negative side).

As an aside, I think looking into mining, deep water drilling, pipeline and transportation stocks would be more lucrative. As an amateur investor, I put my money where my mouth is this summer:

TCK, SWC, KMP, SDRL, HERO, CJES, JBHT, XPO

On the risky consumer side:

GDOT, LEAP

Re:My Developer friends are upset about Apple vs Amazon by jmduke on Sunday February 03, 2013 @03:34PM (#5161030)
I sort of agree and disagree with you.

I think in Apple's case, strength relative to competition is a little redundant because if you're buying an Android tablet, then you're generally not buying a Apple tablet.

In Amazon's case, on the other hand, a lot of people consider their competition to be Walmart. Still, I (and many other consumers) shop from both places simultaneously.

Amazon can get stronger without Walmart getting weaker; I wouldn't really say the same about Apple and Apple's competition.