Re:The planning fallacy, and how to fix it
by swillden on Wednesday March 11, 2009 @02:00PM
(#512121)
I've jokingly suggested for years that the right approach is to make your best estimate, then multiply by pi.
Not only does it boost the estimate enough that you're likely to hit the target, it also adds a lot of bogus precision to the numbers that the less-than-clueful will interpret as accuracy.
Not only does it boost the estimate enough that you're likely to hit the target, it also adds a lot of bogus precision to the numbers that the less-than-clueful will interpret as accuracy.