The responses are to the CEO of Anthropic claiming that "Cancer, heart disease, Alzheimer's, and mental illness will be relics of the past in less than a decade". None of these is some obscure disease that is not getting the funding it needs.
> It takes months - sure, can we run 10k versions of this at the same time? this way in a few months we will have massive amount of results never seen before?
No, you can't - because you're not going to find 100k patients with a certain strain of cancer that you can run 10k parallel trials of different drugs on. To the extent that research can scale, it is already being handled at the higher possible scales, for most of the major diseases.
> Don't forget - a massive amount of diseases have not been cured just because there is no monetary incentive to spend time on them for big pharma.
Yes - but almost exclusively for diseases that affect a very small amount of people each. Making it even more impossible to scale out testing, for the simple fact that only a small amount of victims of the disease even exist.
You can't right now.
10 years ago organoids were not a thing. They are now. Can it be another similar development happens in next few years that will allow to create more complex artifical biological systems? Don't see why not.
If that happens can we speed up trial time by orders of magnitude so human trials start only when there is proven much higher level of confidence?
I bet we can
So you are saying that it is 100% impossible in the next 10 years to come up with a way to make it much faster? It takes months - sure, can we run 10k versions of this at the same time? this way in a few months we will have massive amount of results never seen before?
"We can't because of this and that" - and this and that is 100% can't be fixed?
Don't forget - a massive amount of diseases have not been cured just because there is no monetary incentive to spend time on them for big pharma.
If AI brings cost down - does not matter how - could be just because it makes custom software or automates some workflows etc - this alone can open a bunch of opportunities.
Whatever is not solved yes - often is not solved just because enough resources has been thrown at it.
And diseases is just like everything else. They will be cured only if there is financial incentive (or the ratio of cost to revenue changes).