"Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026 (1960)

Re:"Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026 (1960) by jonapro on Friday November 13, 2026 @08:12AM (#50483046)

"i assure you". Provides no tangible evidence. Ecosystem breakdown is much more of a tangible societal risk than whatever those infantile LLMs are at this time. Like it or not (unless you are a bot), you need to eat, have access to clean water. Not a huge challenge right now if you live in the western world. Not so much already in other areas on this planet. I smell hints of technosolutionism in your answer and I don't like it a bit. We won't SaaS our way out of the ecological mess we're creating.

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Re:"Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026 (1960) by simianwords on Friday November 13, 2026 @08:14AM (#50483072)

Please try to answer this: how did poverty and hunger reduce so dramatically in the last 100 years.

I'm reasonably extrapolating much like most economists would.

Also here's my other bet: even the WORST areas in the planet would see prosperity and better living conditions in 100 years compared to today. That's how it has always been, unless you come up with tail risks due to climate change which I don't personally buy.

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Re:"Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026 (1960) by TheOtherHobbes on Friday November 13, 2026 @08:27AM (#50483192)

Try extrapolating like climate scientists do.

Trad econ has as much predictive value as fantasy football.

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Re:"Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026 (1960) by simianwords on Friday November 13, 2026 @08:52AM (#50483494)

I won’t extrapolate toy models that predict end of human civilisation due to tail risks. None of that is going to happen.

even if the tail risks do happen like ice sheet melting, it is over 1000s of years before it truly makes an impact. And even then the impact is minor in grand scale of things.

You could always find some looney model that predicts the world would end if we don’t control emission. Agree to disagree on that.

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Re:"Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026 (1960) by Alwayshasbeeb on Friday November 13, 2026 @09:16AM (#50483829)

The only "looney model" is thinking "AI" poses any existential risk while ignoring the coupling of food production to heavily threatened biophysical systems.

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Re:"Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026 (1960) by Matumio on Friday November 13, 2026 @09:04AM (#50483649)

[delayed]

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Re:"Doomsday: Friday, 13 November, A.D. 2026 (1960) by giva on Friday November 13, 2026 @10:23AM (#50484876)

1) Development of industrial processes for the production of ammonium sulphate and other synthetic fertilizers;

2) Development of internal combustion motors and their application in agricolture.

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