Re:100x Developers
by krenel on Wednesday November 11, 2026 @01:53PM
(#50457028)
I agree that now what's good or bat will be a comparison with your peers.
2x might be awesome if your peers are 1x. It might be bad if they are 4x. We'll be optimising local maxima. Per company.
The multiplier won't be such a precise number, but rather more of a feeling of "X person seems to be producing double what I'm producing". It will definitively be used as criteria for employment for a while.
Then the industry will converge into a "new normal". Best practices will propagate fast thru the industry, and all developers will have a similar baseline. Dev that were great before and doing 2x, will continue to do so. Same for underperformers. The industry as a whole will produce a whole lot.
IMHO, this will only raise the bar. It will define what's the new normal.
2x might be awesome if your peers are 1x. It might be bad if they are 4x. We'll be optimising local maxima. Per company.
The multiplier won't be such a precise number, but rather more of a feeling of "X person seems to be producing double what I'm producing". It will definitively be used as criteria for employment for a while.
Then the industry will converge into a "new normal". Best practices will propagate fast thru the industry, and all developers will have a similar baseline. Dev that were great before and doing 2x, will continue to do so. Same for underperformers. The industry as a whole will produce a whole lot.
IMHO, this will only raise the bar. It will define what's the new normal.