Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists
by nancyminusone on Monday November 09, 2026 @02:12PM
(#50430190)
Who is using AI besides developers and scammers? Certainly the majority of people don't have codebases to write.
WHAT?!?
This is a wild statement to make.
The pace of AI development and adoption has been insanely fast compared to virtually every major technological revolution in history.
We've gone from AI barely being useful to hundreds of millions of people using it in their daily lives in just a few years.
I think the internet and social media have completely warped our perception of time if we're looking at what's happened with AI over the last 3–4 years and concluding that it's taking too long to mature.
Rough estimate from 'invention' to 'widespread adoption':
* Automobiles: 1886 invention → 1920s mass adoption. ~40 years.
* Airplanes: 1903 first flight → 1950s mass commercial air travel. ~50 years.
* Plastics: 1907 Bakelite → 1950s widespread consumer applications. ~40+ years.
* Mobile phones: 1973 first handheld prototype → 2000 majority US adoption. 27 years.
* Personal Computers: ~1975 → 2000 majority US household ownership. ~25 years.
* Smartphones: 2007 iPhone → 2013 majority US adult adoption. 6 years.
* Chat GPT: ~3 years from GPT-2 "it kinda chats with you" to GPT-6 Astra "It's writing entire code bases"