Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists
by InsidiousWombat on Monday November 09, 2026 @08:52AM
(#50425607)
> I completely disagree with this. What you are saying is that performance, all they need a simple trick and they get Claude performance for free. In that case, why do we see open weight models still lagging?
Yes, they are lagging.
But "performance of Claude's from 6 months behind" is fine for a lot of tasks. And the performance of today's Claude will be still useful for many (and more and more) tasks in 6 months.
The frontier labs are making models for smaller and smaller share of the pie, as the capabilities of open models grow. That isn't sustainable
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists
by bluebands on Monday November 09, 2026 @11:12AM
(#50427521)
> But "performance of Claude's from 6 months behind" is fine for a lot of tasks. And the performance of today's Claude will be still useful for many (and more and more) tasks in 6 months.
Okay, then why would one buy 6-months-ago performance for 2-3x more from an open weights lab as opposed to a closed lab?
OpenAI and Anthropic are competing heavily with GPT-6 Luna and Claude Haiku 5.5!
Assuming you meant this for personality, I’d still disagree but not that extensively. I think personality is nuanced and complex - it can’t be simply lifted and shifted. It’s grown using a meticulous process.