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Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by dwohnitmok on Sunday November 08, 2026 @11:34PM (#50421099)
> If every software developer paid $200/month, every academic paid what they pay for Matlab or Mathematica licenses, every YouTuber paid for whatever video processing, and every normal person paid a subscription comparable to their TV subscriptions and cell phone plans - does that justify the valuations?

> The government pays for surveillance? Companies pay for customer service replacements and target advertisements?

Yes definitely. All together that's probably within striking distance of a trillion dollars in annual revenue. Just TV subscriptions + cell phone plans in the U.S. alone is about 400 billion (leaving aside any other country).

Most large, mature tech companies are at 5-10x revenue to valuation ratios (and 10-20x EBIDTA to valuation ratios).

Of course whether you get there is a separate question, but any company that fulfilled what you're asking would pretty easily justify multi-trillion dollar valuations.

Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by xscott on Monday November 09, 2026 @12:06AM (#50421299)
You make it sounds reasonable then.

That $400B for video and phones though. That's like a $1k average for every adult and child in the country. It's twice what I spend, and I'm not on a family plan.

Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by dwohnitmok on Monday November 09, 2026 @12:48PM (#50428869)
CTIA gives $235 billion for consumer mobile data revenue (CTIA only has a detailed summary for its 2025 report, which gives $224 billion for 2024, https://api.ctia.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/2025-CTIA-Su..., but second hand reports give $235 billion for 2025, e.g. https://www.lightreading.com/wireless/inflation-mostly-skipp...).

Video is a bit trickier to nail down since there isn't a single authoritative group putting out numbers, but most whitepapers converge around $150-200 billion (see e.g. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/total-subscription-...).

Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by xscott on Monday November 09, 2026 @02:35PM (#50430626)
I probably should've worded my reply better (eternal problem of mine). I wasn't doubting you so much as being amazed people spend so much.

Thank you for the detailed links though!