Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists
by xscott on Monday November 09, 2026 @12:06AM
(#50421299)
You make it sounds reasonable then.
That $400B for video and phones though. That's like a $1k average for every adult and child in the country. It's twice what I spend, and I'm not on a family plan.
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists
by dwohnitmok on Monday November 09, 2026 @12:48PM
(#50428869)
CTIA gives $235 billion for consumer mobile data revenue (CTIA only has a detailed summary for its 2025 report, which gives $224 billion for 2024, https://api.ctia.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/2025-CTIA-Su..., but second hand reports give $235 billion for 2025, e.g. https://www.lightreading.com/wireless/inflation-mostly-skipp...).
Video is a bit trickier to nail down since there isn't a single authoritative group putting out numbers, but most whitepapers converge around $150-200 billion (see e.g. https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/total-subscription-...).
> The government pays for surveillance? Companies pay for customer service replacements and target advertisements?
Yes definitely. All together that's probably within striking distance of a trillion dollars in annual revenue. Just TV subscriptions + cell phone plans in the U.S. alone is about 400 billion (leaving aside any other country).
Most large, mature tech companies are at 5-10x revenue to valuation ratios (and 10-20x EBIDTA to valuation ratios).
Of course whether you get there is a separate question, but any company that fulfilled what you're asking would pretty easily justify multi-trillion dollar valuations.