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Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by pj_mukh on Sunday November 08, 2026 @08:52PM (#50419985)
I dont know if the valuations make sense, but the usability is all there and so are the potential profits. Over a decade, that's probably all that matters. If the valuations pop or dip (anytime soon), I think that's mostly irrelevant. I get that the press probably doesn't like to hear this boring conclusion.

P.S: A Matlab/Physics simulation guy running for a Liberal party seat in Canada? Say more!

Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by clbrmbr on Sunday November 08, 2026 @08:54PM (#50420005)
indeed, very happy to see scientifically minded folks running for office.
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by oefrha on Sunday November 08, 2026 @09:21PM (#50420187)
On the flip side, as an ex-physicist, politically minded academics more often than not were among the most annoying people I’ve met. Not saying this person is an academic, I can’t find out what they do at all which means they’re likely not an academic.
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by amluto on Sunday November 08, 2026 @09:15PM (#50420143)
The usability and potential profits of housing were there in 2007 and 2008, too.
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by pj_mukh on Sunday November 08, 2026 @09:28PM (#50420248)
And the valuations made no sense in 10 yea....oh.
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by xboxnolifes on Sunday November 08, 2026 @09:31PM (#50420281)
In 2007, It was regular people who lost their homes and their leveraged investment properties. Regular people are not leveraged into AI startups today. If the AI bubble pops, regular feel people will feel the direct financial consequences significantly less than the '07 housing crisis.
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by agent_turtle on Sunday November 08, 2026 @09:42PM (#50420347)
> Regular people are not leveraged into AI startups today

this isn't accurate. as an example, anyone with a 401k will be affected by the stock market and the stock market is mostly tech, and tech has bet the house on ai

Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by pj_mukh on Sunday November 08, 2026 @09:45PM (#50420372)
"Your 401k should never go down at all" is not a realistic expectation.

Hopefully, people who need to pull from their 401k's soon have wound down to less risky positions. 401k exposure is just not the same thing as your house valuation tanking.

Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by agent_turtle on Sunday November 08, 2026 @10:01PM (#50420497)
i used 401ks here as one example. but if your company has to downsize due to exposure, that means you're out of a job.
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by gizajob on Monday November 09, 2026 @01:57AM (#50422014)
Temporarily. The market goes up and down for all kinds of reasons. Long term though it’s never failed to go up and to the right.
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by grey-area on Monday November 09, 2026 @04:43AM (#50423318)
For certain values of temporarily. On human time scales, we do see bear markets which last a decade or longer, and that can have a serious impact on someone's earning ability or retirement.

Markets do include significant risk and we would do well to remember that.

Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by xboxnolifes on Monday November 09, 2026 @12:21PM (#50428532)
Peoples' 401k will go down, but its not like they were relying on their 401k day to day (unless you retired right when LLMs got huge, i guess?). They won't directly feel it.
Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by amluto on Sunday November 08, 2026 @10:36PM (#50420742)
> In 2007, It was regular people who lost their homes and their leveraged investment properties.

And the debt on which these owners defaulted had been converted into CDOs and mortgage-backed securities, it was financial institutions and investors who lost enormous amounts of money on these.

Today there are GPU-backed securities and compute futures that are helping back all the debt that is financing the datacenter boom. Maybe it’s a bubble, maybe it’s not a bubble, but either way I think its parallel to 2007.

Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by grey-area on Monday November 09, 2026 @02:58AM (#50422483)
Unfortunately, they are, the market (even the global market) is heavily concentrated in just a few US listed companies, and other indexes closely track US indexes. A crisis in AI would impact everyone.

For proof, look at the fall in VWRL last week Correlated with concerns over AI.

Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by wongarsu on Sunday November 08, 2026 @09:56PM (#50420456)
The decade after the dotcom crash brought about as many if not more long-term successful products as the dotcom boom: Youtube, Reddit, Spotify, Google Maps come to mind

A bubble that funds all kind of crazy ideas and big investments into infrastructure work is great for laying the groundwork. But the end of the bubble won't mean the end of progress, or even necessarily a slowdown in progress

Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists by ilovecake1984 on Monday November 09, 2026 @01:27AM (#50421820)
Is the usability all there? I just don’t see it at the moment.