> Their cell phone-equivalent would call your boss when you try to call your spouse, randomly delete photos you took with it, fail to send text messages half the time, power off when it still has 50% battery.

Still incorrect.

Models are always stochastic. They always have a chance of failure. That includes the most expensive frontier models.

You're making an invalid comparison to cellphones by claiming that there are cellphones that spontaneously and regularly do those things (which is wrong) vs flagship phones that don't (which is extremely wrong).

Either that, or you're claiming that the difference between frontier models and open models is the difference between actual flagship phones and these hypothetical ultra-buggy phones. Which is also wrong, because of the above fact that frontier models and open models are both stochastic, and because on many public benchmarks (e.g. Artificial Analysis) the gaps between the best frontier models and the best open models are far smaller than your analogy claims.

The fact is that, while frontier models are better than open models, you can still do a lot of work with open models. You're in no way "screwed" like you're trying to imply either with the incorrect phone analogy or the incorrect power tools analogy above.