AI is dramatically accelerating AI research

Re:AI is dramatically accelerating AI research by binbag on Friday November 06, 2026 @06:11PM (#50399783)

> In theory, these doubling times would add up to infinite capabilities within one year.

> we would reach extreme superintelligence within a year

What does infinite capabilities mean? How about putting the growth on a log scale and see how that curve might look?

What the hell is extreme superintelligence?

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:AI is dramatically accelerating AI research by rtrgrd on Friday November 06, 2026 @06:34PM (#50399972)

I.e. by 6 months, you double once By 6+3 months you double twice By 6+3+1.5 months you double thrice

Since the sequence 6+3+1.5+0.75+... never actually reaches 12 (geometric series), within a year they capabilities would have already been 'doubled' infinitely many times.

Obviously this argument relies on a ton of spherical cow assumptions (and the author does acknowledge this), but i think there overall point is correct that this form of growth (where time horizons compress) is _even faster_ than exponential growth.

[ Parent | on HN ]