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Re:Major Investors Are Skeptical Anthropic IPO Can Achieve $... by wfwerwerwe on Thursday November 05, 2026 @09:23PM (#50387345)
Odds of coming out this year just dropped from 95% to 70% on polymarket
Re:Major Investors Are Skeptical Anthropic IPO Can Achieve $... by palijer on Thursday November 05, 2026 @09:30PM (#50387409)
Which means nothing in terms of likelihood of events happening or not happening.
Re:Major Investors Are Skeptical Anthropic IPO Can Achieve $... by ares623 on Thursday November 05, 2026 @09:40PM (#50387478)
Every picosecond, anything and everything has a 50/50 chance of happening
Re:Major Investors Are Skeptical Anthropic IPO Can Achieve $... by AnimalMuppet on Thursday November 05, 2026 @09:49PM (#50387544)
Not true. Is the Anthropic IPO happening this picosecond? At 50/50 odds, I'll bet on no. I'll bet on it for the next million picoseconds. How much are you willing to put on yes?
Re:Major Investors Are Skeptical Anthropic IPO Can Achieve $... by ares623 on Thursday November 05, 2026 @11:10PM (#50388071)
I've just been very unlucky in the last 1000000 picoseconds that's all
Re:Major Investors Are Skeptical Anthropic IPO Can Achieve $... by dofm on Thursday November 05, 2026 @11:55PM (#50388393)
Here I am saying “well, shit”, over and over again, but so quickly that not even dogs can hear it.
Re:Major Investors Are Skeptical Anthropic IPO Can Achieve $... by denverllc on Thursday November 05, 2026 @10:16PM (#50387735)
What you’re describing is a stochastic process, and that’s not how stochastic processes work at all.
Re:Major Investors Are Skeptical Anthropic IPO Can Achieve $... by Larrikin on Thursday November 05, 2026 @09:42PM (#50387500)
Odds easily manipulated by those with money aren't useful. When you're playing around for a trillion, a billion isn't much money to lose