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A comment on New HIV vaccine shows unprecedented success in preclinical study. Parent comment

Re:New HIV vaccine shows unprecedented success in preclinica... by jquery on Tuesday July 28, 2026 @11:10PM (#49093009)
A single, untreated person with TB will infect 1.5 to 4 people if public health interventions don’t happen. Measles sits at 12 to 18 people per infected person.

In case anyone was curious. Depending on what your priors were, 1.5 to 4 might be shocking.

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Re:New HIV vaccine shows unprecedented success in preclinica... by attila-lendvai on Tuesday July 28, 2026 @11:45PM (#49093190)
don't forget that untreated TB runs for years, sometimes for many years.

measles heals in weeks (and 99.9% non-malnutrished survives without lasting damage; see France prior to 1983).

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Re:New HIV vaccine shows unprecedented success in preclinica... by attila-lendvai on Tuesday July 28, 2026 @11:48PM (#49093203)
also note the exponential function here... and an exponent of 2 and 12 are very different animals.
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