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Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by esseph on Sunday July 26, 2026 @08:42AM (#49057563)
Drones shot down in Romania, Poland, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Finland, etc.

These are probes. Judging responses and response times.

Rumor is Polish GROM have been inside Russia for months.

Edit: See sources in my comment below. I bring receipts.

Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by topspin on Sunday July 26, 2026 @09:37AM (#49058108)
> These are probes. Judging responses and response times.

Some, yes. Many are merely defective units. These weapons are being manufactured in enormous quantity and deployed rapidly with minimal quality control: based on the reported numbers over Ukraine, the net manufacturing rate is about 10 per hour. Inevitably, some are defective and fail to follow waypoints. Romania is on a line through numerous targets in Ukraine from the Kursk region where many Russian drone flights begin, so Romania ends up being the unintended destination.

The good news is that the defects likely represent resource problems for the manufacturers. The same phenomena has been noted with increasing failed missile launches from Russia.

Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by notathrowaway51 on Sunday July 26, 2026 @08:56AM (#49057714)
Can you elaborate on the last sentence? It sounds crazy.
Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by Kubuxu on Sunday July 26, 2026 @09:06AM (#49057813)
There are rumours that Polish GROM has been taking “vacations” in Ukraine. As in “we cannot officially approve your presence there but we won’t stop you either”, from the government.
Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by gattr on Sunday July 26, 2026 @09:06AM (#49057815)
I watched a related Chris Cappy video the other day:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5RBY1cY-GF8

> Poland's elite GROM commandos have become legendary (...) in this episode, we explore (...) the covert war between Poland and Russia, and why Polish-speaking commandos are appearing inside Russian territory.

Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by matkoniecz on Sunday July 26, 2026 @09:04AM (#49057797)
yes, it is a big [citation needed] for me
Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by esseph on Sunday July 26, 2026 @09:09AM (#49057838)
See gattr's comment above

Basically GROM getting "leave" and then ending up with their whole team inside Ukraine as "contractors", just with deniability.

https://militarywatchmagazine.com/article/polish-mercenaries...

Regarding efforts to provide deniability for their operations, a Polish officer informed him: “we worked out a formula for our presence in Ukraine … we were simply sent on paid leave. Politicians pretended not to see this.” The Polish Volunteer Corps has appeared to use the same model to provide cover for the mass deployment of Polish Armed Forces personnel, who are technically former personnel when entering the theatre, with their presence having for years been widely reported on multiple frontlines. In February 2026, the lower house of the Polish parliament adopted legislation to provide legal cover to Polish citizens who fought in the ongoing Russian-Ukrainian War.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2026/07/03/russia-pla...

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/07/12/8043770/

https://abcnews.com/International/wireStory/baltics-poland-w...

Edit:

Added: https://youtu.be/5RBY1cY-GF8?is=rVFFKVnBxkmsF9aM

Pic: https://x.com/intermarium24/status/1659954927299440641

Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by squidbeak on Sunday July 26, 2026 @10:01AM (#49058330)
You are mixing legitimate sources reporting the intelligence suggesting Russia is seeking a provocation in Poland with a Kremlin propganda channel lying about Polish commandos operating in Ukraine.

https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/military-watch-magazine-bias/

Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by esseph on Sunday July 26, 2026 @04:37PM (#49062165)
Thanks, wasn't aware of that website backing.
Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by justsomehnguy on Sunday July 26, 2026 @12:56PM (#49059987)
It's always amusing when one side claims what the presence of NATO personnel in UA is "just Russian lies" only to post the confirmation of it themselves.

It's even more amusing when you see pictures like this https://i.redd.it/ex4jgoqir4qg1.png

Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by rainworld on Sunday July 26, 2026 @01:09PM (#49060109)
Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by justsomehnguy on Sunday July 26, 2026 @03:14PM (#49061380)
Nice one, thanks.
Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by matkoniecz on Thursday July 30, 2026 @06:01AM (#49107895)
"just Russian lies" was, at least where I have seen it, was reply to claims about whole NATO armies send to Ukraine and lost with tens of thousands killed in action

Or claims that EU is freezing to death or food running out (or soon will be)

Re:Third Drone Shot Down in Three Days in Romanian Territory by cingraa on Sunday July 26, 2026 @09:21AM (#49057953)
Occam's razor. Decoy drones with a bit more fuel or favorable wind.