You should read the article you so hastily posted. It supports the claim 2007 with a number of 35%. Granted, there are many ranges being thrown out, but the general trend (stated in the article you quote) is that it's well south of 50%, and continuing to move in that direction.

you should have read further , until completion instead of skimming the first part of the article & you would have concluded otherwise.

"Estimates of divorce are around 45%. When you throw in a few percent of couples who separate but never get around to divorcing, the figure of 50% is close," Paul Amato, a professor of family sociology and demography at Pennsylvania State University, wrote in an e-mail. "The probability of divorce is unlikely to rise further. In anything, it appears to be going down slightly."

"I think there is some truth to the fact that half of marriages end in divorce," Casey Copen, an associate service fellow with the National Survey of Family Growth, said. But, she said, "it’s just so dependent on the population you’re looking at."

For example, studies show couples with higher levels of education are less likely to divorce.

Burzumato put the likelihood of marriages now ending in divorce slightly lower, between 35 percent and 45 percent, but said "it might be in the 50s, it’s hard to tell."

"What we have found is that divorce rates are coming down," he said. "Cohabitation is on the rise. So those who do select marriage tend to be more committed."

The U.S. Census Bureau reported similar findings.

"As marriage rates have decreased and cohabitation has become more common, marriage has become more selective of adults who are better off socioeconomically and have more education, and divorce rates have leveled," a May 2011 report said.

Bob44

You forgot the last paragraph. I mentioned sthg about reading further, didn't i ? man, you're on a obsessive streak :) following my comments one by one, thread by thread, down-voting all you can, eh ?

"The chance of a marriage ending in divorce varies depending on a number of factors, including education and race. But overall, experts told us and reports show the overall probability of marriages now ending in divorce falls between 40 percent and 50 percent."