I mean, it's possible that with the new datacenter from SpaceX, they could onboard more users than it costs them to rent. That's fair. But I kind of doubt that.

One thing that really stinks to me is that various AI boosters have been claiming insane profit margins (40%, 50%, ...), yet apparently Anthropic stands to (possibly) make $500M profit on $11B in expenses, that's clearly nowhere near 50%. Not to mention that they're not making profit on inference now.

So where do people get this confidence to pull random numbers from?