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Re:Who Wins and Who Loses in Prediction Markets? Evidence fr... by dheera on Thursday May 21, 2026 @11:52AM (#48224798)
Not really. Not all players in prediction markets are rational players. A good chunk of it are there for entertainment, and analyze things incorrectly; you can take the other side of those trades, and you won't need to predict the future.
Re:Who Wins and Who Loses in Prediction Markets? Evidence fr... by Retr0id on Thursday May 21, 2026 @12:41PM (#48225572)
Deciding that someone else's prediction is wrong is a prediction in and of itself.