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Re:OpenAI's o1 correctly diagnosed 67% of ER patients vs. 50... by fc417fc802 on Sunday May 03, 2026 @04:05PM (#48000838)
> I can't really wrap my head about the fact that doctors will be better than AI models on the long-run.

Nobody said that though?

If the current trajectory continues and if advancements are made regarding automated data collection about patients and if those advancements are adopted in the clinic then presumably specialized medical models will exceed human performance at the task of diagnosis at some point in the future. Clearly that hasn't happened yet.

Re:OpenAI's o1 correctly diagnosed 67% of ER patients vs. 50... by devmor on Sunday May 03, 2026 @04:23PM (#48001028)
Until medical models can contrive of unique diagnosis, this will not be true and cannot be true.

Medical models can absolutely get better at recognizing the patterns of diagnosis that doctors have already been diagnosing - which means they will also amplify misdiagnosis that aren't corrected for via cohort average. This is easy to see a large problem with: you end up with a pseudo-eugenics medical system that can't help people who aren't experiencing a "standard" problem.

Re:OpenAI's o1 correctly diagnosed 67% of ER patients vs. 50... by fc417fc802 on Sunday May 03, 2026 @04:30PM (#48001120)
The pitfall you describe is not inconsistent with exceeding human performance by most metrics.

I'd argue that the current system in the west already exhibits this problem to some extent. Fortunately it's a systemic issue as opposed to a technical one so there's no reason AI necessarily has to make it worse.

Re:OpenAI's o1 correctly diagnosed 67% of ER patients vs. 50... by devmor on Sunday May 03, 2026 @10:29PM (#48003976)
That’s not really an argument, it is central to my point. The current system does exhibit those issues and it is by human creativity and outliers that we have some points of escape from it.

Codifying and distilling it removes the points of escape.

Re:OpenAI's o1 correctly diagnosed 67% of ER patients vs. 50... by fc417fc802 on Monday May 04, 2026 @01:17PM (#48011710)
Sure, it's not an argument if you ignore half of what I wrote. Your previous reply to me was similarly disconnected from the comment it was responding to.

Were the systemic issue to remain unaddressed AI would certainly be expected to make it worse. But it could be addressed if there was the will to do so. In fact AI could actually be leveraged to improve things by taking on the role that physicians play now thus freeing them up to pursue the edge cases that don't fit the mold.

Re:OpenAI's o1 correctly diagnosed 67% of ER patients vs. 50... by devmor on Wednesday May 06, 2026 @08:31AM (#48035457)
In the same way AI frees up SREs and developers to focus on all the downtime and bugfixes they’ve caused by using AI now?

Humans don’t get to drop down to 2 9’s though… we just die.