'Hairdryer used to trick weather sensor' to win Polymarket bet

Re:'Hairdryer used to trick weather sensor' to win Polymarke... by Groxx on Thursday April 23, 2026 @01:22PM (#47878510)

There's quite a lot of ways to interpret this question... but for that day's daily bet:

>A temperature of 18C was seen as a 99.6pc probability before the temperature spiked later in the day.

99.6% of them didn't take the insane bet. And at least one of those 0.4% (by value? count? idk) decided to cheat.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:'Hairdryer used to trick weather sensor' to win Polymarke... by jjice on Thursday April 23, 2026 @02:27PM (#47879508)

> 99.6% of them didn't take the insane bet.

I don't think the actual bet was insane, but the concept of betting on the weather is insane.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:'Hairdryer used to trick weather sensor' to win Polymarke... by marton78 on Thursday April 23, 2026 @03:19PM (#47880336)

There are legitimate reasons to bet on the weather. If you're a farmer, betting on drought can be a hedge against a bad year.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:'Hairdryer used to trick weather sensor' to win Polymarke... by Groxx on Thursday April 23, 2026 @02:38PM (#47879693)

People bet on anything and everything, and the less controllable the better, afaict. "I'll bet you $5 that snail will eat the cucumber before the broccoli" - > "fuck yes, make it $20" is 100% a thing I could see happening. Weather is significantly easier to do every day though, unless you know a snail farmer with a twitch stream (if so, hook me up!).

[ Parent | on HN ]